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Based on my bullshit math, the Florida Marlins are playing over their heads

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Oeditpus Rex Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 02:10 PM
Original message
Based on my bullshit math, the Florida Marlins are playing over their heads
and the Atlanta Braves are under-achievers.

On the left, we see the National League standings if they were based on the difference between the number of runs a ball club has scored and the number it's allowed. The Cubs have scored 50 more runs than they've given up, a greater difference than any other ball club's. ("RDB" is Run Difference Behind, similar to Games Behind in the actual standings.) But on the right, we can see that the Cubs' win-loss record is merely tied with the Dodgers for fourth best in the league. The column at far right shows that Arizona is one place higher (+1) than the difference between the runs it's scored and allowed, Florida is four places higher and Atlanta is five places lower.







This is what stats geeks do. :freak:



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pokerfan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 02:20 PM
Response to Original message
1. Regression toward the mean
also explains why the Star Wars prequels were so craptastic.
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darkstar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 02:26 PM
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2. Looks like San Diego is in their personal sweet spot
then.
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Tommy_Carcetti Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 02:35 PM
Response to Original message
3. Go Fish!
Shades of 2003?
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reyd reid reed Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 08:23 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. Bite your tongue!!!!
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