Newest Export Out of China: Inflation Fears
By KEITH BRADSHER
Published: April 16, 2004
....Price increases in raw materials and other business costs in China, a government spokesman said, will probably spill over soon to consumer prices in China and abroad.
"There is a time lag, but it can't be too long, and there is pressure for price rises," said Zheng Jingping, the spokesman for the National Bureau of Statistics, at a news conference in Beijing on Thursday. "If this goes on for a long time, it will cause problems."
Exports from China to the United States last year represented just 1.2 percent of the value of all goods and services produced within the United States. But China has been the lowest-cost provider in many areas. As its prices rise, many other low-income and middle-income countries exporting to the United States, from Eastern Europe to Mexico and Central and South America, will find it easier to raise prices as well.
China's efforts to keep the economy from overheating and igniting inflation have been unfruitful so far. Using a term that Mr. Zheng and other Chinese officials have conspicuously avoided, the state-run New China News Agency on Thursday quoted Morgan Stanley's China economist, Andy Xie, describing the Chinese economy as "a bubble."...
http://www.nytimes.com/2004/04/16/business/worldbusiness/16YUAN.html?hp