SENATE prediction:

[unblock]

democrats will control the senate despite being technically the minority party:

50 republicans
49 democrats
1 independent

with jeffords caucussing with the democrats, it's 50-50.
vice-president edwards will cast the tie-breaker, giving the democrats control.

not pretty, but any landing you can walk away from is a good one.

[FARAFIELD]

1. remember if we win though

Kerry will have to resign his seat in January so until the special election the Repukes would be 50-49. Now we could win all the tossups and upset in KY and we would have the majority

[unblock]

7. i'm giving that seat to the republicans as part of my prediction.

it is an unfortunate consequence of running not one, but TWO senators for the executive ticket, that those seats are lost with any victory.

this is one key reason why shrewd strategists prefer to run governors instead.

[PROGRESSIVE1]

2. 51 Democrats/49 Rethuglicans

That 51 Democratic number includes Jeffords who caucuses with us.

[SensibleCenterist]

3. Am I the only one that remembers this?

I remember when Daschle moved from Senate Minority Leader to Majority Leader. It could have been a coincidence, but suddenly California's rolling blackout problem stopped. Somebody realized they couldn't block all congressional investigations anymore.

[GainesT1958]

4. If it comes down to that, I'll amend your prediction:

Chafee and Snowe will join Jeffords as Independents, and also to caucus with Democrats--thus giving Kerry an outright working majority in the Senate--and a clear shot to appoint Supreme COurt justices worthy of the highest bench in the land!:D

:kick:

B-)

[GOPNotForMe]

5. Edwards will have to bring a sleeping bag to the Senate if that's the case

Because he's going to be there a long time breaking ties! How dramatic!

[Nite Owl]

6. I'd be very happy with that for now

and in '06 we can add. Hopefully there will be some R's that now cross over and vote with us like Chafee and Snow.

[Carolab]

8. They will if

they want a future!

[Daisey Mae]

9. SENATE 50 50 + Edwards and President Kerry a winning

situation.... I say KERRY BY A LANDSLIDE........

[iwantmycountryback]

10. I'd definitely take that

Any majority no matter how small is a good majority. Here's what I think will go down

Alaska-Knowles wins, D+1
Colorado-Salazar wins, D+1
Florida-Castor wins, D+1
Georgia-Majette loses, D-1
Illinois-Obama wins,D+1 (close one too lol)
Kentucky-I HOPE LIKE HELL DR.DAN PULLS IT OUT, but I'll be conservative and give it to Bunning. I think Mongiardo could still win though. D-1
Louisiana-Vitter won't get 50%, we'll have to wait on this one
North Carolina-Bowles wins +1 Really hope he pulls this one out.
Oklahoma-Carson loses D-1 Carson could still win this but it doesn't look that great for him right now.
South Carolina-Unfortunately that pyscho Demint looks like he will win D-1
South Dakota-This is really fucking close. D+1 Come on Tommy win this one for the Dems

Those are the close/open ones. That leaves Dems gaining 3, Rethugs gaining 2. I'm not even counting Louisiana. Man this is too late to be doing math. Of the 23 remaining races that aren't close, Dems will be keeping 13 seats and Repubs will be keeping 10.

[Thrill]

11. Bowles wins by

4-6 points

[Catch22Dem]

13. Carson wins

I'd bet on it.

[Awsi Dooger]

12. Well, we won the big senate races in the last presidential year

I think it was +5 in 2000. Of course, those were friendlier states -- Michigan, Wahington, New Jersey, New York, Florida, Missouri. I know I'm forgetting at least a couple.

This year too many deep red road games to expect a sweep. I'm just hoping we break even.

[carpetbagger]

14. I think it's 50-50 as well.

We gain: AK, CO, IL,
We hold: FL, NC, SC, SD
They gain: LA
They hold: PA, KY, OK, GA (yes, it goes here)

That's a two seat shift from 51+Zell/47+Jeffords.

None of the moderates will bolt under a democratic president.