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Something's not right with Edwards numbers.

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kimmerspixelated Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-19-08 05:45 PM
Original message
Something's not right with Edwards numbers.
No evidence, just a gut feeling, that something has been fudged to help the others. One reason, is that when polled, on the DU, the majority here are for Edwards. Now I know that it's not conclusive, and that there are other measures to explore, but the back in 04, we were all(meaning most) set for Kerry, and well, look at the discrepancies with the exit polls. Don't flame this as a sore loser thing....it's just fishy to me. I smell a "the math" rat!
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IndianaJones Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-19-08 05:46 PM
Response to Original message
1. its him..not the numbers, they just follow. nt.
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mr715 Donating Member (770 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-19-08 05:46 PM
Response to Original message
2. Its a caucus
If he didnt get above 15%, his votes were canned and they were reallocated. Statewide, he's polling ~5% because he couldnt poll above 15% in most places.


Simple, and true. Hey, it happened to Clinton in Iowa
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ursi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-19-08 05:47 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. at our precinct, 135 people showed up and it went like this
Obama - 5 delegates
Clinton - 2
Edwards - 1
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maddiejoan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-19-08 05:47 PM
Response to Original message
3. His entrance polls were at 10%
Looks to me like half the Edward's supporters decided it was better to flock to Obama in an effort to block Clinton.

Doesn't seem out of bounds behaviour for a caucus.
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ursi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-19-08 05:48 PM
Response to Reply #3
6. MJ, in our precinct they managed to get enough for 1 delegate
Kucinich had 5 people show up and 4 of them went to Edwards to keep him viable and one went to Obama.
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maddiejoan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-19-08 05:50 PM
Response to Reply #6
8. My point is that it's a caucus
entrance polls don't equate to final results.
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stravu9 Donating Member (945 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-19-08 05:48 PM
Response to Original message
5. WE NEED "V"
!
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ursi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-19-08 05:49 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. The whole country needs V!!
Thanks for the reminder. I'm watching that tonight!
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fooj Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-19-08 05:52 PM
Response to Reply #5
9. Yes, we do.
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balantz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-19-08 05:54 PM
Response to Reply #5
11. What's "V"?
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fooj Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-19-08 05:57 PM
Response to Reply #11
15. V for Vendetta.
It's an awesome movie. If you haven't seen it...you must!!!

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stravu9 Donating Member (945 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-19-08 05:57 PM
Response to Reply #11
16. "V" For Vendetta
It was a Graphic Novel and then a Movie about a freedom fight in a fascist society.
He was GREAT!
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balantz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-19-08 06:03 PM
Response to Reply #16
18. Thanks! I'll check it out.
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Tulkas Donating Member (592 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-19-08 05:53 PM
Response to Original message
10. to high?
I agree



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balantz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-19-08 05:56 PM
Response to Original message
12. Seems weird to me too.
Even the more conservative polls had him higher than that. Until just recently there was a poll that I think gave him 6%, I think.
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2rth2pwr Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-19-08 05:56 PM
Response to Original message
13. Satire. Right? nt
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fooj Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-19-08 05:56 PM
Response to Original message
14. I was stunned when I saw the Americablog Straw Poll...
Edwards 47%, Obama 23%, Clinton 18%.

Go figure.
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Orangepeel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jan-19-08 06:01 PM
Response to Original message
17. that gut feeling is just disappointment
I'm an Edwards supporter and I'm surprised and disappointed by the results, but the numbers aren't fudged. They just are what they are.

Maybe it was the Clinton/Obama media-fueled feud that likely made Edwards supports choose one of them to block the other. Maybe it was the caucus system that may have resulted in peer pressure to support either Clinton or Obama to block the other. Maybe it was that as many people don't respond to Edwards as you and I would hope and expect.

Either way, it is sad.
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