***6 different polls *** Clinton leads Obama with a 9.1 % average***

[agdlp]

[MadBadger]

1. Again Genius, look at the dates.

[KittyWampus]

2. don't be rude!

[agdlp]

5. 47 % of all votes in California will be cast by mail - a Super Tuesday Trend

During a conference call with state reporters, the campaign noted the importance of early voting by mail. Fabian Nunez, speaker of the California Assembly, said more votes will be cast by mail in California than were cast in Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina combined. “In some cases, enough votes are gonna be banked to win the contest,” Nunez said.

The most recent figures obtained from the California Association of County Election Officials (CACEO) show that 1,132,877 mail-in ballots have been returned, out of the more than 5 million that were requested. But CACEO president Steven Weir estimates that the actual number of returned ballots is already over 2 million. Weir also predicts that 47% of all votes will be cast by mail.

In 2004, just under 3 million votes were cast in the Democratic primary, while 2.1 million votes were cast in the uncontested Republican primary. For that primary, as with this one, there were also ballot initiatives driving some of the turnout. Weir says some of the ballots that have been returned actually indicate no choice for president. “ came out to vote for the props,” he said. “But this is being driven by the top of the tickets.”

Capitalizing on these early voters was clearly a strategy of the Clinton campaign. “The more votes we can lock in now while she’s still leading with double digits, is what some would all an insurance policy,” said Luis Vizcaino, spokesperson for the Clinton campaign here.

[MadBadger]

7. We are talking national numbers, not CA

[book_worm]

3. That's not bad! it's narrowing!!

[Uben]

4. Clinton leads in 14 of 19 Super Tuesday states

Obama leads in 4, two by only 2 points, and they are tied in one.


source:Survey USA

[book_worm]

8. hey that's narrowing too. It used to be only two states Obama led in.

Thank's for the good news!

[featherman]

6. Most excellent... Go Obama!

[AX10]

9. Hillary will be the front runner on...

2/6.

[agdlp]

10. 295,932 Democrats voted early or returned absentee ballots in Florida

:)

Do you see the trend ?

[Thrill]

12. Yeah the trend is they cared about their Property Tax

[RoadRage]

15. I do see the trend..

Clinton wins in areas with name recognition, and little campaigning. People are all for her, until they realize what she stands for, and recognize that there are better choices.

So, yes - she will continue to win in states where the ballots are cast weeks or a month before Obama has a chance to actually campaign. If that is how you want to win the primaries, because it's the only way for her to win - then so be it. I prefer a democracy where all of the candidates are heard before people are encouraged to vote - but I realize that is not how things are set up.

Guilianni had the same approach.. he was a huge leader everywhere until people realized what he was about. I belive he's dropping out today or tomorrow though.

You're candidate is lucky.. name recognition can certainly get you places if you're able to capitalize on it quickly enough.

[rodeodance]

11. ALL-FIRED-UP FOR THE LADY~~~

[sandnsea]

13. Uhm, it's Jan 30

I think these were all done before SC even. It's getting purty crazy around here.

[MadBadger]

14. I know. Gallup shows an Obama surge.

[agdlp]

16. 95,932 Democrats voted by mail in Florida, 47 % in California did the same. Do you see the trend ?

:-)

http://www.sptimes.com/2008/01/25/State/Early_vote_may_be_dec.shtml
http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2008/01/29/61984