Chart: Totality Of Polls In Feb. 5th States Shows Race Is Tightening
By Eric Kleefeld - January 31, 2008, 2:29PM
Here it is: A handy guide to what all the most recent polls are saying in nearly all of the 22 states holding Democratic primaries and caucuses on Feb. 5th.
Taken together, all these polls — which we've assembled for you in chart form for your convenience — offer a clear snapshot of the Super Tuesday showdown as it is shaping up right now.
The overall picture these polls provide: The race is tightening up in practically all the key Feb. 5th states — mirroring what the national polls are showing.
It's true that of the states where polls are available, Hillary Clinton leads in all but three of them. And even in Colorado and Georgia, where Obama is ahead, his advantage is a narrow one. In short, the polls would seem to show that Hillary Clinton goes into Super Tuesday with a clear advantage.
Nonetheless, the chart shows that in recent weeks, and especially in the last few days, Obama has seriously narrowed the gaps in such key states as California, Massachusetts and Connecticut, with more polls coming in everyday. Furthermore, the withdrawal of John Edwards has thrown the race into yet more chaos — the combined Edwards/undecided number is around 20% across the board. If Obama can keep the momentum going by consolidating the undecideds and taking a majority of former Edwards supporters, this could get very close indeed.
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State Numbers Pollster Date
Alabama Clinton 43%, Obama 28%, Edwards 16% Rasmussen Jan 25
Alaska No recent polls
Arizona Clinton 37%, Obama 27%, Edwards 15% Behavior Research Jan 26
Arkansas No recent polls
California Clinton 43%, Obama 40%, Edwards 9% Rasmussen Jan 30
Colorado Obama 34%, Clinton 32%, Edwards 17% Mason-Dixon Jan 27
Connecticut Clinton 40%, Obama 40%, Edwards 11% Rasmussen Jan 29
Delaware No recent polls
Georgia Obama 41%, Clinton 35%, Edwards 13% Rasmussen Jan 25
Idaho No recent polls
Illinois Obama 51%, Clinton 22%, Edwards 15% Research 2000 Jan 27
Kansas No recent polls
Massachusetts Clinton 43%, Obama 37%, Edwards 11% Rasmussen Jan 30
Minnesota Clinton 40%, Obama 33%, Edwards 12% Univ. of MN Jan 28
Missouri Clinton 44%, Obama 31%, Edwards 18% Research 2000 Jan 27
New Jersey Clinton 49%, Obama 32%, Edwards 10% Quinnipiac Jan 23
New Mexico No recent polls
New York Clinton 45%, Obama 33%, Edwards 10% PPP (D) Jan 30
North Dakota No recent polls
Oklahoma Clinton 44%, Edwards 27%, Obama 19% SurveyUSA Jan 28
Tennessee Clinton 43%, Obama 32%, Edwards 16% PPP (D) Jan 29
Utah Clinton 46%, Obama 23%, Edwards 9% Dan Jones Jan 10
http://tpmelectioncentral.com/2008/01/super_tuesday_dem_polls.php#more