TheWebHead
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Sun Feb-24-08 04:33 PM
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A vote for Clinton is a vote for a convention battle which divides the party? |
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I pose the topic as a question because I am curious, as some have already begun to ask, what is the Clinton game plan to get the nomination given their current delegate deficit. Even if HRC turns the tide, at this point there is no pre-convention math that I'm aware of that would avoid a convention fight for super delegates. This of course would divide the party more than it already is now, to the point the Democrats would snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.
I almost get the feeling that this current tag team from Clinton and McCain on Obama is Hillary playing now for 2012, driving up Barack's negatives from her supporters so that they'll stay home, or in the case of her older supporters, actually vote for McCain out of spite.
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JVS
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Sun Feb-24-08 04:36 PM
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democrattotheend
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Sun Feb-24-08 04:42 PM
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but you are going to get flamed. Just warning you.
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dkf
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Sun Feb-24-08 04:44 PM
Response to Original message |
3. I always thought they deep sixed Howard Dean because they didn't |
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want a Dem to win the 2004 election.
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Johnny__Motown
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Sun Feb-24-08 04:45 PM
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4. Beyond any doubt, A vote for Hillary is a vote for a divided party. |
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although it may not go all the way to the convention.
I also agree that she may have come to grips that she has lost this round and wants another shot in 2012.
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LadyVT
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Sun Feb-24-08 04:46 PM
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5. Of course the same could be said about a vote for Obama. |
NastyRiffraff
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Sun Feb-24-08 04:46 PM
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6. A vote for Hillary is unpatriotic! |
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And will destroy the Democratic Party!
Please. My vote is my own, and no one has the right to tell me the results of it.
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Johnny__Motown
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Sun Feb-24-08 04:52 PM
Response to Reply #6 |
13. Except that more people have voted for him.... DEMOCRACY, go look it up |
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Edited on Sun Feb-24-08 04:53 PM by Johnny__Motown
This should link to the LadyVT post, sorry
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Sadie5
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Sun Feb-24-08 04:46 PM
Response to Original message |
7. A remedy for your confusion |
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would be for BO to start making plans to drop out. Just so we don't frustrate you Obamites any further it would settle everything. If BO really cared he would drop out for the good of the party. Remember:Bo is a uniter not a divider.
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Johnny__Motown
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Sun Feb-24-08 04:55 PM
Response to Reply #7 |
14. Except that more people voted for him... it won't settle anything to have the winner drop out and .. |
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the loser represent our party
An Illegitimate nominee will be doomed from the start.
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RUMMYisFROSTED
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Sun Feb-24-08 04:47 PM
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8. The process is what the process is. |
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A vote for Hillary is a vote for Hillary.
:shrug:
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DFW
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Sun Feb-24-08 04:48 PM
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9. I don't see the 2012 aspect |
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If Obama is elected this year, he'd have to screw up badly to lose a re-election bid, and if he does screw up badly (if elected), then the Republicans will get back in. I don't know when the last time was that a party in the USA failed to nominate a sitting president for re-election (who wanted the nomination, that is), but it certainly hasn't been in my lifetime, nor in that of my parents. The Democrats will not deny a sitting incumbent president the nomination for re-election unless he or she makes more of a mess of things than we can imagine.
Hillary won't even raise a peep about 2012 if she loses the nomination this year. She will try for Senate Majority Leader instead.
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Johnny__Motown
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Sun Feb-24-08 04:56 PM
Response to Reply #9 |
15. The ponit is the Hillary is trying to damage him so badly he will lose in '08 so she can run in '12 |
DFW
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Sun Feb-24-08 05:01 PM
Response to Reply #15 |
22. I don't see that one either |
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She is not Ralph Nader. If Obama gets the nomination, she will be out there campaigning for him like the rest. If she doesn't, her chances of Senate Majority Leader go up in smoke. Hillary cares that the Democrats take the White House, unlike Nader, who couldn't care less. Obviously she prefers that it be her, but if the last straw has been grabbed and she still loses, she'll accept it and be a team player.
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thoughtcrime1984
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Sun Feb-24-08 04:59 PM
Response to Reply #9 |
20. The point is that the poster believes Hillary would help McCain |
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win now, so that she can run against him in 2012. That wouldn't surprise me, given her actions lately. I hope that is not the case, as the party would be injured badly, and the Repubs will run rampant another 4-8 years.
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DFW
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Sun Feb-24-08 05:03 PM
Response to Reply #20 |
24. I don't believe that of Hillary any more than I believe that of Obama, if the shoes were reversed |
saltpoint
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Sun Feb-24-08 04:50 PM
Response to Original message |
10. The nomination process could use a serious rehaul, and I hope Howard Dean |
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will support doing just that before he steps down.
In the meanwhile, this is how it's done, warts and all.
I don't see grounds to punish Senator Clinton for remaining in the race so voters supporting her in OH, TX, RI, VT, WY, MS, PA, Guam, IN, NC, WV, KY, OR, MT, SD, and Puerto Rico can have their chances to cast votes in support of her candidacy.
I wish all 8 of our announced candidates were still in the race, for that matter.
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RUMMYisFROSTED
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Sun Feb-24-08 04:56 PM
Response to Reply #10 |
16. The best change would be having the first primaries in progressive states. |
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Say WA, CA,or NY.
Let's see what progressives think before we hand it off to red states.
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saltpoint
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Sun Feb-24-08 05:01 PM
Response to Reply #16 |
21. Hi, RUMMYisFROSTED. What would you say to a 17-17-remainder |
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rotation, the states randomly selected each cycle so no one state has any strategic advantage over the others?
The whole thing across a 3-week stretch from mid-April to early May of the nominating year, to give all candidates equal time to raise some money and to buid grassroots ground operations.
One Saturday, 17 states. The next Saturday, 17 more. Third Saturday, remaining states plus territories. Nominee decided in 21 days by a randomly rotating national vote on much more competitive grounds economically and operationally.
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RUMMYisFROSTED
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Sun Feb-24-08 05:09 PM
Response to Reply #21 |
29. My first thought is ""Sounds good." |
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My second thought is "Money."
My third thought is "It would work great with public financing."
My fourth thought is "Barring finance reform, it would eliminate voices from the debate that we need to hear from."
My fifth thought is "My own idea sucks. NY and CA are prohibitively expensive to campaign in under the current system."
My sixth thought is "With public financing, my idea is great!"
Guess ya got me thinking. Overall, I'm for a shortened primary season. 2 years is ridiculous. 3 weeks might be too short. Maybe 10-10-10-10-10 with proportional delegates and proportional political geography?
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cyclezealot
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Sun Feb-24-08 05:25 PM
Response to Reply #29 |
33. My ideas. A constitutional amendment |
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Edited on Sun Feb-24-08 05:27 PM by cyclezealot
A national primary. Since the TV networks rents our airwaves. A national demand, networks give certified presidential candidate free air time. Real debates. No Blitzer's controlling questions. A national run off should the top candidates not get a majority. That would be democracy. Just like most other countries. These four month primary seasons are ridiculous. We are sick of it by the time this horse race is over. And it makes for more divisiveness. And of course the need for special interest money in order to buy those ridiculous TV spots that don't inform. I'd say the primary season with a National primary should be no more than three months, under my plan. / Of course my plan won't happen. The thirty some 'small states,' will hold the other 20 hostage, since they want to be the ones to select the president.
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RUMMYisFROSTED
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Sun Feb-24-08 05:33 PM
Response to Reply #33 |
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Under those conditions there would be dozens, maybe hundreds of candidates. There would have to be some litmus test(50,000 signatures?) of viability for a candidate to receive free airtime. Instant runoff voting would clear the clutter for a second vote.
In principle I agree with you, though.
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cyclezealot
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Sun Feb-24-08 05:43 PM
Response to Reply #34 |
37. At present the best means to determine a 'certified' candidate |
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is the FEC saying that candidate has raised enough money to qualify for federal matching funds.That would be a fair assessment. A fair standard, that the media refuses to accept. The addition of x number of petitions would be a good addition.
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RUMMYisFROSTED
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Sun Feb-24-08 07:34 PM
Response to Reply #37 |
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That probably wouldn't be my qualifier. Class access to the system is a non-starter... in the perfect world.
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cyclezealot
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Mon Feb-25-08 05:18 AM
Response to Reply #38 |
39. Consider how Maine and Arizona |
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go about determining who is a worthy candidate. Excessive money raising should not be necessary. Just some means to show a base level of support. Specifics will need be worked out. Basically, I think public financiing is the best means to bring about democratic elections and rid the US of the power of lobbyists. That would end up saving US taxpayers, billions in pork barrel projects.
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Hippo_Tron
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Mon Feb-25-08 05:44 AM
Response to Reply #37 |
41. How about gathering a certain amount of signatures to determine baseline support? |
cyclezealot
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Mon Feb-25-08 05:51 AM
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cyclezealot
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Sun Feb-24-08 05:05 PM
Response to Reply #16 |
27. The essence of the Michigan/ Fla. DNC conflict |
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over who goes first. The whole nation should go first. Not New Hampshire. The whole process is gamed. Set up a new primary schedule, think the results would have been the same. I doubt it. Since our democracy is weak. If we have to have such a fragmented system. Lessen the impact of red states. Why can't New Hampshire be paired with Oregon or Washington State on the same day. Or better yet, Hawaii. / We need more Michigan's or Florida's to say, enough. But, too many Democrats don't see the forest for the trees. Had it not been for Michigan , Florida nothing would be done. And very likely that is still the case.
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RUMMYisFROSTED
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Sun Feb-24-08 05:11 PM
Response to Reply #27 |
Hippo_Tron
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Mon Feb-25-08 05:39 AM
Response to Reply #16 |
40. So you're saying that Democrats in blue states are more important than Democrats in red states |
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Not only is that attitude arrogant but a sure fire way to lose elections.
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bigtree
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Sun Feb-24-08 04:50 PM
Response to Original message |
11. A vote for Clinton is a vote against math |
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Clinton supporters are anti-math!
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gerrilea
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Sun Feb-24-08 04:58 PM
Response to Reply #11 |
19. You are kidding, right? Who needs math anyways! |
ElsewheresDaughter
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Sun Feb-24-08 04:51 PM
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12. get ready to rumble then cuz Hillary has my vote |
Johnny__Motown
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Sun Feb-24-08 04:57 PM
Response to Reply #12 |
18. fair enough, you are voting to divide the party, thanks for being honest about it |
NMMNG
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Sun Feb-24-08 05:07 PM
Response to Reply #18 |
28. On the contrary. Obama has divided the party. |
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Some are just unwilling or unable to recognize it.
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jlake
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Sun Feb-24-08 04:57 PM
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17. Oh good God. What will you think of next? |
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If you vote for Hillary - you clearly hate Democrats and America.
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AZ Criminal JD
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Sun Feb-24-08 05:02 PM
Response to Reply #17 |
23. Next is a vote for Hillary is vote against Motherhood, Apple Pie and all that is good in humanity. |
Johnny__Motown
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Sun Feb-24-08 05:04 PM
Response to Reply #23 |
26. Not motherhood or apple pie, But........ |
NMMNG
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Sun Feb-24-08 05:03 PM
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25. You seem to think this is all about HRC |
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I can't speak for other HRC supporters, of course. But I can speak for myself and my SO. For us it is not and never has been about HRC. We only came to HRC because she was the last person left standing against Obama. * IOW, it has been about not wanting Barack Obama in the GE. Neither of us will vote for McCain (though her mother might), but we will definitely not be voting for Obama.
*We both had no particular like nor dislike for Obama. I myself began to feel creeped out by his incessant pandering to the evangelicals but I'm used to politicians doing that so I waited to see what was going to happen. Then with the McClurkin fiasco we both began taking a much harder look at Obama and we didn't like what we saw. Once we were ultimately forced into Hillary's camp we still aren't her greatest fans but overall we're satisfied with her.
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SaveOurDemocracy
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Sun Feb-24-08 05:09 PM
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30. If HRC's still in it 4/22 ... she has my vote. n/t |
jlake
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Sun Feb-24-08 05:21 PM
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paulk
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Sun Feb-24-08 05:36 PM
Response to Original message |
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the one were Obama's delegate lead exists because of the large numbers of imdependents and Republicans who voted for him?
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Mezzo
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Sun Feb-24-08 05:38 PM
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36. The same thing applies to Barack. |
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Even if he wins it all, he can't get to that magic number no how.
This is goin' to the convention, and implying she doesn't belong there, or that he belongs there more, is a specious argument at best.
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TexasObserver
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Mon Feb-25-08 05:54 AM
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43. In 8 days, it'll either be over or it won't. I think it will be over. It's over when she concedes. |
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I don't have a problem with Clinton or her supporters wanting to give it their last, best shot on March 5th. But when the results come in, and if she doesn't win Texas and Ohio (which I don't think she will) then it's time for Senator Clinton to be a real Democrat and think about the party and not herself.
I don't care for the way she has run her campaign, particularly the past three weeks. The further she falls behind, the more desperate and disorganized her effort becomes. It's sad to see her go out like this, particularly after she seemed to indicate at the end of the last debate that she understood the end was near, and she wanted to have a little class.
She's got zero chance of winning the nomination in 2012, no matter what happens with Obama. She's so thoroughly offended so many party members, from the rank and file to the top, that she's burned HER bridge back to the Democratic party. Her campaign will end badly in debt, and that will offend all the vendors they stiff, all the campaign workers they stiff. All that money she raised as the presumptive nominee will never come back.
This is it for her, and she knows it. That's why she's fighting like someone in her death throes.
I want to see the intraparty warfare end, because it is harmful, and it does take time to get over. We have other races besides this one race, and if we win the presidency and don't have a filibuster proof senate, we won't have what the new president needs. If we don't have a large enough margin in the House, we won't have what we need to pass out the bills we need.
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