I'll be thrilled Tuesday if Obama......

[KansasVoter]

Wins NC by over 10 and Hillary wins Indiana by 10 or less. At that point delegates get out of hand for Hillary.

If Obama wins NC by 10 he gains 11 delegates.

If Hillary wins Indiana by 10 she gains only 8 delegates.

And it gives Obama a 54 delegate lead even if hillary gets a 60%-40% win in the remaining states INCLUDING Florida and Michigan. Without Florida and Michigan it gives him a 107 delegate lead even if she wins Kentucky 70%-30%.

Things are looking bad for Hillary. She needs to win a lot bigger in Indiana than by 10.

I am feeling pretty good now!!!

Any other opinions?

[democrattotheend]

1. Don't worry about Michigan and Florida

Play with the delegate calculator, and you will see that barring a complete implosion, Obama's delegate lead is insurmountable even with Michigan and Florida. That assumes Obama gets blown out in WV and KY, barely wins Oregon, loses Indiana by 10, barely wins North Carolina, and loses Montana by 10 points and loses Puerto Rico 3-1.

[John Q. Citizen]

2. I live in MT and Obama will do very well here. I'm not ready to predict his margin of victory,

but he will certainly win.

[panAmerican]

4. Great to hear; I saw endorsement from Missoula Mayor; crowd response was awesome

[Qutzupalotl]

3. Obama will do quite well in Oregon.

Comparable rallies in Eugene were about 2500 for HRC and 13,000 for Obama. Thousands of new Democrats registered for the primary.

[Freida5]

5. I will be thrilled if he loses both

[newmajority]

6. And I'll be thrilled if The Beatles play a benefit concert in my front yard on Sunday night.

But I have this feeling John & George, at least, ain't going to be able to make it. :evilfrown:

[KansasVoter]

7. Totally undertandable....but get used to disappointment.