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Wow, even Rasmussen is calling it a day on Clinton...

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DemsUnited Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 08:35 AM
Original message
Wow, even Rasmussen is calling it a day on Clinton...
Edited on Fri May-09-08 08:36 AM by DemsUnited
Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
Friday, May 09, 2008

Rasmussen Reports has been tracking the race for the Democratic Presidential nomination daily for nineteen months… since November 2006. For the last few months, the most remarkable feature of the race has been its consistency and stability. Senators Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton are both running historic campaigns and both have captured the votes and hearts of distinct and important constituencies within the Democratic Party. Obama has won Primaries in states where the demographics favor his campaign and Clinton has won in the states that favor her campaign.

However, while Senator Clinton has remained close and competitive in every meaningful measure, she is a close second and the race is over. It has become clear that Barack Obama will be the Democratic nominee.

At the moment, Senator Clinton’s team is busily trying to convince Superdelegates and pundits that she is more electable than Barack Obama. For reasons discussed in a separate article, it doesn’t matter. Even if every single Superdelegate was convinced that the former First Lady is somewhat more electable than Obama, that is not enough of a reason to deny him the nomination.

With this in mind, Rasmussen Reports will soon end our daily tracking of the Democratic race and focus exclusively on the general election competition between Republican John McCain and Democrat Barack Obama. Barring something totally unforeseen, that is the choice American voters will have before them in November. While we have not firmly decided upon a final day for tracking the Democratic race, it is coming soon.


And for what it's worth, the daily poll is Obama 50, Clinton 42, "first time Obama has reached the 50% level of support since April 15".
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flor de jasmim Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 08:37 AM
Response to Original message
1. Wow, when you've lost Rasmussen....
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flpoljunkie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 09:47 AM
Response to Reply #1
16. Clinton's, McCain's Unfavorable ratings continue to rise. Obama's Favorable rating on the rise.
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roguevalley Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 09:54 PM
Response to Reply #1
19. yikes, how embarrassing. its like being the girl at the dance no one
wants to dance with.
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TwilightGardener Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 08:37 AM
Response to Original message
2. Whoa. They got their shovels out and dug the big hole, all right.
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dkf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 08:37 AM
Response to Original message
3. OK, color me shocked.
:wow:
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cali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 08:39 AM
Response to Original message
4. that says it all. Ras is ending its dem tracking poll and
focusing exclusively on Obama/McCain. I doubt Hilly can even make it to June 3.
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Doityourself Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 08:39 AM
Response to Original message
5. Yowzer...pretty much says Hillary...you're no longer relevant..
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Breeze54 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 08:40 AM
Response to Original message
6. Earth shattering....
:eyes:
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gateley Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 08:40 AM
Response to Original message
7. Whoa is right.
She's become insignificant according to Rasmussen. I can't think of anything more telling -- it's like the Ron Paul treatment. Oh, are you still here?


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WeDidIt Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 08:41 AM
Response to Original message
8. That pretty much wraps the bow around it for Obama
But Obama is ever the gracious and polite man.

He'll give her until May 20, then he'll claim victory.

He's even told her straight up, Hillary, I'm a good man, but I can only let this go so far.
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DemsUnited Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 08:43 AM
Response to Reply #8
9. That's how it should be. In the meantime, another super for Obama from MD
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flpoljunkie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 08:45 AM
Response to Reply #8
10. Obama leads McCain by 23 among voters under 40 while McCain leads by 11 among those over 50
Also Rasmussen reports this: The last time Obama outpolled McCain for four straight days was in mid-February (see recent daily results). One key to this changing dynamic is that Obama now leads McCain among unaffiliated voters by nine percentage points.
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Tesha Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 08:57 AM
Response to Reply #10
11. "Hey you kids! Get off the lawn and get away from my McCain sign!" (NT)
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dbmk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 09:02 AM
Response to Reply #11
13. :)
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TwilightGardener Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 09:00 AM
Response to Reply #10
12. This will be a "past vs. the future" fight, more than anything else. The future will win, I am
confident of that. It almost always does.
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K Gardner Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 09:11 AM
Response to Original message
14. Excellent ! If I NEVER see another "primary poll" it will be too soon !
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Tesha Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 09:20 AM
Response to Reply #14
15. 2012! Boo! ;-)
(Are you scared yet? ;) )

Tesha
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gristy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 09:48 AM
Response to Original message
17. Wow. Obama's lead is 11 points when the last 2 nights of polling are averaged
Rasmussen (rightly, IMO) averages the previous 4 nights of polling to produce their usual numbers.

In the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, Obama holds a 50% to 42% advantage over Clinton nationally. That’s the first time Obama has reached the 50% level of support since April 15 (see recent Democratic Nomination results). Tracking poll results are based upon nightly telephone interviews and reported on a four-day rolling average basis. Two nights of interviews for today’s update were completed after the Indiana and North Carolina Primaries. For those two nights on a stand-alone basis, Obama leads Clinton by eleven percentage points.


I expect it will be Obama-53% Clinton-39% by Monday or Tuesday.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
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tishaLA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 09:48 AM
Response to Original message
18. Thank goodness. I hope DU follows suit
very very soon
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SoonerPride Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 10:02 PM
Response to Reply #18
21. I guess it won't happen until Clinton concedes.
Edited on Fri May-09-08 10:02 PM by SoonerPride
Which means never.
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L0oniX Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 10:01 PM
Response to Original message
20. WOOT
:woohoo: :woohoo: :woohoo: :woohoo: :woohoo: :woohoo: :woohoo: :woohoo: :woohoo: :woohoo:
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MirrorAshes Donating Member (942 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 10:07 PM
Response to Original message
22. well well.
i hope rasmussen is prepared for the firestorm they are about to be on the recieving end of. not that it matters at this point.
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kwenu Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-09-08 10:13 PM
Response to Original message
23. When pollsters can predict a contest with a great degree of certainty they call it for the winner.
Not shocking to me.
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