tekisui
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Tue May-13-08 06:14 PM
Original message |
Obama has netted +28 delegates this week. Hillary won't net half that many tonight. |
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Watch the spin.
Nothing changes after tonight, except that HIllary will be that much farther from any chance of catching Obama.
He picked up 28 Superdelegates this week, 3 switching from the Presumptive Loser, Hillary Clinton. She netted 1 superdelegate and lost one Pledged Delegate this week.
Of the 28 delegates up for grabs tonight, she will, at her best net +12, that's an unlikely 70% win.
The game doesn't change. Ignore the Delusional Egoist.
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Bluesman21
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Tue May-13-08 06:15 PM
Response to Original message |
1. :D good eye. kicked! n/t |
panader0
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Tue May-13-08 06:18 PM
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2. If there are 28 delegates up for grabs and she wins 70% |
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how does she only get 12?
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tekisui
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Tue May-13-08 06:19 PM
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3. That is what CNN's delegate counter told me. 20-Hillary, 8-Obama. |
sandnsea
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Tue May-13-08 06:21 PM
Response to Reply #2 |
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She'll be up 12 with West Virginia. But when you factor in Obama's supers, she's actually further behind.
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ProgressiveEconomist
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Tue May-13-08 06:43 PM
Response to Reply #2 |
13. MSNBC's Chuck Todd says HRC nets only 10 unltess she gets to 75% of the vote |
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or more.
It'll be 19 for Clinton, 9 for Obama. Not even couning SDs that may declare for Obama by morning, Obama will get within 142 delegates of the 2025 target tonight.
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Yael
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Tue May-13-08 06:52 PM
Response to Reply #2 |
15. Because the next threshold is 75% |
SoCalDem
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Tue May-13-08 06:19 PM
Response to Original message |
4. she will probably win 19 or 20 tonight..but he will roll out some more tomorrow |
tekisui
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Tue May-13-08 06:22 PM
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6. And Obama will win 9 or 10 tonight, with big names for tomorrow. |
RiverStone
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Tue May-13-08 06:28 PM
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7. And that's 12 for the next 6 days - then comes Oregon |
sniffa
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Tue May-13-08 06:32 PM
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8. Predicting a net 10 for WV tonight |
tekisui
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Tue May-13-08 06:37 PM
Response to Reply #8 |
9. That means net +18 for Obama this week. |
writes3000
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Tue May-13-08 06:41 PM
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10. If I were the Clinton campaign, I'd have some SDs ready to announce tomorrow... |
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Of course, I'm betting the Obama campaign has some of their own to announce tomorrow.
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tekisui
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Tue May-13-08 06:42 PM
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12. If you were the CLinton Camp, where the hell are you gonna get SD's? |
Scurrilous
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Tue May-13-08 06:41 PM
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Yael
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Tue May-13-08 06:50 PM
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14. I don't see her but pulling in 10 (19-9) |
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4-2 in each of the 3 CDs 5-2 in Addon Pledged 2-1 in PLEO
WV SDs are 3:2 for HRC with 6 undeclared.
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cliss
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Tue May-13-08 07:03 PM
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16. The sands of the hour glass.... |
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are running low....
The way I see it, Hillary only has about 1 week left. That's it. The money's run out, the support has run out, and TIME has run out.
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K Gardner
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Tue May-13-08 07:08 PM
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17. Kicking for reality check. |
grannylib
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Tue May-13-08 07:09 PM
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18. Any idea of SDs set to come out backing Obama, and anytime |
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soon? I'd love to see a BIG drip instead of this steady trickle, welcome though each of them is...
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BringBigDogBack
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Tue May-13-08 07:33 PM
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DearAbby
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Tue May-13-08 07:36 PM
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20. Nothing has really changed. |
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According to Obama's campaign, the number of superdelegates on his side 282. The latest estimate of Hillary Rodham Clinton's superdelegate score: 271.
This would be Clinton's perfect time to bow out on a high note, gracefully.
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tekisui
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Tue May-13-08 07:44 PM
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21. We'll see. I've been gracious too many times to believe it will happen now. |
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But, I hope it does. She has got to go.
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PretzelWarrior
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Tue May-13-08 10:21 PM
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22. exactly. she's dead and just doesn't know it yet. |
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Sun May 12th 2024, 07:04 AM
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