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When is the last time a "presumptive nominee" lost a state by 30+ points?

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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 07:56 PM
Original message
When is the last time a "presumptive nominee" lost a state by 30+ points?
Has any previous Democratic "presumptive nominee" ever lost a state by as much as Obama did tonight? We are nominating a candidate who will be lucky to break 35% in a Democratic state even when he was annointed as the presumptive nominee by the MSM...
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BlooInBloo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 07:57 PM
Response to Original message
1. hahahaha!
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Ned_Devine Donating Member (996 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 07:58 PM
Response to Original message
2. WV is a blue state? In what country?
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 07:58 PM
Response to Reply #2
8. They are overwhelming Democratic.
However, they are a conservative Democratic state.

They have two Democratic senators, a Democratic governor, and an overwhelming Democratic legislature.
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Ned_Devine Donating Member (996 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 07:59 PM
Response to Reply #8
14. Yet the state turns red every GE
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:01 PM
Response to Reply #14
22. Every GE? Are you new to politics?
Dukakis and Clinton won West Virginia. Kerry and Gore were not good candidates for West Virginia and Bush was a great candidate there, which is why Bush won.
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Ned_Devine Donating Member (996 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:03 PM
Response to Reply #22
29. Forgot about 16 and 20 years ago. Thinking more recently
Isn't Jay Rockefeller (Sp.) one of their senators? More of a DINO than a dem
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:04 PM
Response to Reply #29
35. 2 elections doesn't eliminate the fact that West Virginia used to be reliably Democratic.
And it could be the next two elections if Hillary is our nominee.
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Ned_Devine Donating Member (996 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:07 PM
Response to Reply #35
41. Are you really hanging on to that dream?
I am not saying this to be a wise guy. I just want to know how it is that someone can actually see it from your perspective and believe it. I find it amazing
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ladjf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:53 PM
Response to Reply #35
72. So was the rest of the Southern states until the Republicans
discovered how to play the race card with winks. All of the Dixiecrats left the Democratic Party and joined the Republicans.
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last_texas_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:51 PM
Response to Reply #8
70. AR is Democratic at the state level, too
Doesn't mean Clinton or Obama has a decent shot at winning it in the general election, even considering its status as one of Clinton's "home" states and her overwhelming margin of victory in its primary. So what's your point?
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tekisui Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 07:58 PM
Response to Original message
3. Funny year, huh?
The Presumptive Loser won a state late. This has more to do with the calender than the state of the race.
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AZ Criminal JD Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:37 PM
Response to Reply #3
66. Obama has won practically nothing since Feb. 22
N. Carolina was his first and only state. Clinton has been winning all of the contests. Good spin though.
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tekisui Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 09:20 PM
Response to Reply #66
76. VT, WY, MS, oh yeah and the TX caucus.
And many more superdelegates and much more money.
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scheming daemons Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 10:48 PM
Response to Reply #76
78. And NC......
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Doityourself Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 07:58 PM
Response to Original message
4. You just don't give up, huh? Well good for you. lmao...
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YDogg Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 07:58 PM
Response to Original message
5. once upon a time, Clinton was the presumptive nominee.
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Ned_Devine Donating Member (996 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 07:59 PM
Response to Reply #5
12. Yeah, before the race started. Haha!
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grannylib Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 07:58 PM
Response to Original message
6. I dunno, when's the last time someone who can't win the nomination
kept running, to the detriment of the party and the nation?
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jsmirman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:08 PM
Response to Reply #6
46. Bingo. When's the last time a candidate emerged as a nominee while losing in every metric
but keep running anyway Hillary.

The mic ain't on, the lights are off, but you just keep prattling away at the podium on your journey to... somewhere...
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rockymountaindem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 07:58 PM
Original message
1) Look at the numerous states in which Obama won by double digits
2) WV is a "Democratic state"? Is this 1968?
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StevieM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 07:58 PM
Response to Original message
7. And on top of that he isn't even a very nice guy (eom)
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hendo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:01 PM
Response to Reply #7
21. is that really a personal attack
on someone you have never met no less.
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Mooney Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:03 PM
Response to Reply #7
31. Gee, that's relevant.
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Coexist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 07:58 PM
Response to Original message
9. McCain - tonight.
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Kittycat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 07:59 PM
Response to Original message
10. How many states did she lose by that margin?
Edited on Tue May-13-08 08:00 PM by Kittycat
Too many to count. It's all over NJS. Next tuesday is victory night, prepare to support the nominee.

ETA: Are you ready to flip back to Obama now? You lasted as a clinton supporter for what? 1 state now?
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Politicub Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 07:59 PM
Response to Original message
11. I'm not sure Obama campaigned there
I think it was apparent to everyone that WV would go for Hillary - no surprises here.

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hendo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 07:59 PM
Response to Original message
13. When was the last time..
A presumptive nominee lost 10 primaries in a row? Oh wait, It happened to HRC.

Obama was expected to lose in WV, in fact the HRC campaign said it would be 80-20. By those odds, Obama did great.
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OzarkDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:00 PM
Response to Original message
15. Don't know, but it will happen again next week
School is out, Obama's supporters are on summer vacation.
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Doityourself Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:02 PM
Response to Reply #15
26. In what state Kentucky? I think you maybe a little surprised.
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Name removed Donating Member (0 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:08 PM
Response to Reply #15
45. Deleted message
Message removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.
 
cali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:00 PM
Response to Original message
16. WV is not a democratic state in the sense that MA or NY
or CA is. It is not reliable when it comes to the GE. And sorry, racism played a role in WV today. It's difficult to know how big a role, but it undoubtedly was a factor in the results.
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:02 PM
Response to Reply #16
28. It is reliably Democratic at the state level.
And with a nominee that appeals to the state, like Hillary Clinton, Hillary will win it twice.
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cali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:06 PM
Response to Reply #28
39. but we're not talking about the state level. We're talking about
the presidential level and it's not reliable in that regard.
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ProSense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:00 PM
Response to Original message
17. It must be painful to realize one has jumped onto a sinking ship, huh? n/t
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kirby Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:00 PM
Response to Original message
18. When is the last time a black man ran for president?
We are on new grounds here. Other factors are at play.
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quantass Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:15 PM
Response to Reply #18
55. Good point!
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dchill Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:00 PM
Response to Original message
19. "annointed as the presumptive nominee by the MSM..."
Or was it a majority of the Democratic Party? Depending on your metric, of course.
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quantass Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:16 PM
Response to Reply #19
58. ..and Annointed the Nominee by SUPER-DELEGATES overwhelmingly
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skipos Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:01 PM
Response to Original message
20. OMG!!! And when is the last time a black person became president?!?!?
We need to dumps this Husian guy ASAP!
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keep_it_real Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:02 PM
Response to Original message
23. As the chinese proved says, may you live in interesting times
And we are sure living in interesting times, indeed.
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Thrill Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:02 PM
Response to Original message
24. WV isn't going to be a blue state. Forget it. No matter who the nominee is.
But for the record. Just because you don't win a state in the primary doesn't mean you aren't going to win it in the GE
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Hoof Hearted Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:02 PM
Response to Original message
25. Let me guess....... .. ... .... . . ... .. NEVER.
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AllentownJake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:02 PM
Response to Original message
27. I think Edwards
is going to break 5-9% what does that say about both of them.
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book_worm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:03 PM
Response to Original message
30. Jimmy Carter in 1976: Oregon (May 25th) 53-23 Jerry Brown won
Montana (6/1) 59-25 Frank Church won. California (June 8) 59-20 Jerry Brown won. Nevada (May 25th) 53-23 Jerry Brown won. Idaho 79-12 (May 25) Frank Church won.

Next question?
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gabeana Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:11 PM
Response to Reply #30
51. great find
you just smacked that Op idiot upside the head
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tabasco Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:20 PM
Response to Reply #30
61. I was hoping somebody looked it up.
I was too damn tired. Thanks!
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 10:46 PM
Response to Reply #30
77. Jerry Brown was from California. Frank Church was from Idaho.
Brown won Nevada, which borders California. Frank Church won Montana, which borders Iowa.


Nothing like that is here. Since when does New York border West Virginia? Obama got his ass kicked in a state that Hillary has no connections to.

Try again.

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johnnydrama Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:04 PM
Response to Original message
32. when's the last time?
A democratic nominee lost Washington DC?

By 50%?
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thewiseguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:04 PM
Response to Original message
33. This was your third thread I hope?
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Phoebe Loosinhouse Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:04 PM
Response to Original message
34. Of all the frigging states in the entire country that SHOULD be blue without question it is WV
But they defy . . . common wisdom. They are the epitome of a populace voting consistently against their own self interests.

Their working interests, their environmental interests, their everything interests. Invincible . . . oh, never mind.

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Liberal Veteran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:05 PM
Response to Original message
36. Alaska, Colorado, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Kansas, Minnesota, Nebraska, Washington, DC, Hawaii.
Pick a date...all of those happened when Hillary was the presumptive nominee.
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:06 PM
Response to Reply #36
40. Hillary was never the presumptive nominee when those states were voting. n/t
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Liberal Veteran Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:08 PM
Response to Reply #40
44. Oh, please....Hillary walked into this race with HUGE advantages.
It was supposed to be a cakewalk for her.
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book_worm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:08 PM
Response to Reply #40
47. See my post 30 for your answer. I also think in 1980 Ted Kennedy may have taken a couple of late
states by big margins over President Carter when Carter was the presumptive nominee.
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Renew Deal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:14 PM
Response to Reply #40
54. Yes she was. She's been the presumptive nominee since 1999
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democrank Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:06 PM
Response to Original message
37. Is this a joke?
When was the last time the grassroots` candidate challenged the most deeply entrenched political machine in all of Washington and got this far?
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keep_it_real Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:06 PM
Response to Original message
38. In the GE if Obama
Campaigns in WV a in your face, I'm gonna be the next president of the U.S. and you are gonna vote for me cause I'm no better or no worst than you and sorta does what Kennedy did in WV he could if not turn them around.
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zulchzulu Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:07 PM
Response to Original message
42. True...look how many states Obama won by over 30%...that's right! 14 states!
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LisaL Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:20 PM
Response to Reply #42
60. When was the last time democrat won the presidency
without winning West Virginia?
OH? FL? PA?
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Frumious B Donating Member (282 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:07 PM
Response to Original message
43. It looks like John McCain finished a very distant third in W Va.
I guess he needs to drop out due to his inability to connect with white working class voters.
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knixphan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:10 PM
Response to Original message
48. when was the last time
a candidate nobody knew a year ago
took the primary
from one who was well-known
for 16 years?
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RBInMaine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:10 PM
Response to Original message
49. #1, it's about demographics. #2 Mondale lost several in the end to Hart.
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yourguide Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:10 PM
Response to Original message
50. Um this year:
HRC was the presumptive nominee up until Obama started oh, beating her.


The stats are:

Idaho (+63 Obama)
Obama: 80%, HRC: 17%

Hawaii (+52 Obama)
Obama: 76%, HRC: 24%

DC (+51 Obama)
Obama: 74%, HRC: 24%

Alaska (+49 Obama)
Obama: 74%, HRC: 25%

Kansas (+48 Obama)
Obama: 74%, HRC: 26%

Washinton (+37 Obama)
Obama: 68%, HRC: 31%

Georgia (+35 Obama)
Obama: 66%, HRC: 31%

Colorado (+35 Obama)
Obama: 67%, HRC: 32%

Minnesota (+34 Obama)
Obama: 66%, HRC: 32%

Illinois (+32 Obama)
Obama: 65%, HRC: 33%

Virginia (+29 Obama)
Obama: 64%, HRC: 35%

South Carolina (+28 Obama)
Obama: 55%, HRC: 27%, Edwards: 18%

North Dakota (+24 Obama)
Obama: 61%, HRC: 37%

Mississippi (+24 Obama)
Obama: 61%, HRC: 37%

Wyoming (+23 Obama)
Obama: 61%, HRC: 38%

Maryland (+23 Obama)
Obama: 60%, HRC: 37%

Louisiana (+21 Obama)
Obama: 57%, HRC: 36%

Vermont (+20 Obama)
Obama: 59%, HRC: 39%
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Renew Deal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:14 PM
Response to Original message
52. If we nominate Hillary, she will have done it 11 times.
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PermanentRevolution Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:14 PM
Response to Original message
53. Well, actually, at the moment...
C: 61%
O: 33%

That's 28 points, not 30+

Just sayin'...

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/21660914#WV
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The Night Owl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:15 PM
Response to Original message
56. May 13, 2008
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RiverStone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:15 PM
Response to Original message
57. When was the last time a candidate broke a pledge to NOT count...
...states that broke the DNC rules?

Enjoy her win NJ, they are fleeting.
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LisaL Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:18 PM
Response to Reply #57
59. I dunno. When was the last time two states did not count
at the convention?
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RiverStone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:22 PM
Response to Reply #59
63. Never, but the arrogant party bosses in FLA/MI that gave...
Howard Dean & the DNC the finger should have thought of that.
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gabeana Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:23 PM
Response to Reply #59
65. I dunno. when was the last time
a candidate wanted to count a state where their opponent was not on the ballot? see two can play this game
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LoZoccolo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:22 PM
Response to Original message
62. Sounds like a good number of these people are butt-ass racist.
Hillary's target demographic as indicated by her comments last week.
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RollergirlVT Donating Member (452 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:22 PM
Response to Original message
64. Idaho
Same number of delegates. Obama won by 79% Clinton 17% Population White & Rural
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sellitman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:42 PM
Response to Original message
67. Early victory pictures in WV.
Hillary can be President of West Virginia!

Hip, hip, hooray!


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Bullet1987 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:45 PM
Response to Original message
68. When was the last time the MSM kept propping up an eventual loser?
That's the better question, instead of telling it like it is?
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Gore1FL Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:46 PM
Response to Original message
69. Probably 1992, 1888 and or 1984
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peoli Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:52 PM
Response to Original message
71. When was the last time you posted anything remotely interesting?
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Fox Mulder Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:54 PM
Response to Original message
73. I don't know if you know this or not, but we don't have a presumptive nominee...
Edited on Tue May-13-08 08:54 PM by Fox Mulder
yet.

And since when is NC blue???
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dano81818 Donating Member (185 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:55 PM
Response to Original message
74. yes, hillary has done a great job of tearing down barack
slash and burn baby
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Citizen Kang Donating Member (424 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 08:57 PM
Response to Original message
75. And how many states has Hillary lost by 30+ points?
The answer is FIVE:

the DC primary (75 percent), and the caucuses in Alaska (75 percent), Hawaii (76 percent), Idaho (79 percent), and Kansas (74 percent).


Enjoy your last hurrah.
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Ichingcarpenter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 10:51 PM
Response to Original message
79. You're a Scab on the Clinton campaign and the Democratic Party.
You said the repuglicans could still win in Mississippi tonight after it was called.

You don't fool anyone anymore that's a member of the Democratic Party.

I don't care if this gets deleted or alerted.

You called yourself out tonight.
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ericgtr Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 10:54 PM
Response to Original message
80. When is the last time you watched Deliverance?
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Occam Bandage Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 10:54 PM
Response to Original message
81. Carter, '76.
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