Has anyone heard about voter turnout in KY? My TV is off...n/t

[monmouth]

[skipos]

1. I have only heard reports of it being "light"

How light, I don't know.

[VeraAgnes]

12. Clinton is cleaning up!

Expect a landslide for Clinton in Kentucky. It will be close in Oregon.

http://makethemaccountable.com/

The community types with the heaviest turnout through last Wednesday are not typically Obama strongholds, based upon primary-season results so far. Voters in “Boom Towns,” places experiencing rapid growth, had returned 32 percent of their ballots. Those in “Service Worker Centers” had returned 32 percent of their ballots. And in “Tractor Country,” filled with farmlands, 31 percent of the electorate had sent in theirs.
snip
In areas where Obama is expected to do well, including Oregon’s populous “Monied ’Burbs” and “Campus and Careers” counties, a lower number of ballots have been returned. Through Wednesday only about 27 percent of the ballots that went out to the state’s two “Campus and Careers” counties were sent in. Meanwhile, the state’s two “Monied ’Burbs” counties had only returned 22 percent of their votes through Wednesday.

Those numbers may indicate how the results unfold Tuesday, but it’s still unclear how many of those ballots contain Democratic primary votes – the Republicans will have their votes tallied Tuesday, too.

LINK http://www.csmonitor.com/patchworknation/csmstaff/2008/0519/what-oregons-early-primary-turnout-numbers-reveal/

http://uspolitics.einnews.com/news/kentucky-voter-turnout

here is another on the ground report I found via "google". It sounds right-winged but...it does give us a current report so use an open mind.

kentucky...scroll way down for the hourly report on the ground:

http://www.rightpundits.com/?p=1485


oregon on the ground report. Also scroll on to end of page for hourly data report.


http://www.rightpundits.com/?p=1486

[SoonerPride]

13. Wanna bet?

Didn't think so

[VeraAgnes]

15. Bet what? Why for crying-out loud?

I hear the feedback and share my findings. :shrug: it is what it is.........tonight, the official results will be the final say.

[pdx_prog]

17. Close in Oregon?

I live in Portland and believe me there is not going to be anything "close" about this vote.

[IndyOp]

20. Did you hear someone humming "Yes We Can" at the polls?

I did when I voted in Bloomington Indiana -- 67% Obama.

:D

[IndyOp]

18. I clicked your link and saw the day was "smooth" and there was "good turnout" -

and I fully expect Clinton to do very, very well --- but I don't seen anywhere in your links where there is information that would specifically suggest that Clinton is doing well today. Is turnout in Clinton areas very, very good? Link?

[VeraAgnes]

31. I proceeded to find the links I had read earlier

and provided them for us to read. CNN is going to also give their first exit poll results soon. I am listening on my Sirius internet link.

on streaming radio guide, they have provided radio stations for people to listen to from KY and Oregon. I will go get that link too.

Here ya go: ( the links are at the top of the page for us).


http://streamingradioguide.com/streaming-radio-stations.php

Streaming Alert

Yes, it's time again for the weekly election

Today, Kentucky and Oregon get their chance to see if they can get Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama to quit the primary race. It seems unlikely. There are only 3 more election/caucus dates after today.

[skipos]

19. SEXIST! Clinton "cleaning?!?" HOW DARE YOU!

Just kidding. Clinton will have a huge win in KY, but it won't be the 90% she needs in every primary from here on out.

[VeraAgnes]

32. Just as long as you don't suggest

Hillary bake cookies............:spank: :hi: :rofl:

[rocktivity]

26. It won't be a landslide for Hillary unless she gets 86% of the vote in both KY and OR

Anything less will not stop Obama from getting the 16 pledged delegates he needs to clinch tonight.

:headbang:
rocknation

[VeraAgnes]

33. Ky Update.....

http://www.rightpundits.com/?p=1485


Update 6:20pm EST - 1% of polls in;

Clinton 3,903 (64%), Obama 1,823 (31%)

45% say that John Edwards endorsement was important to them. 51% said it wasn’t important

73% women voted for Clinton

92% that valued experience voted for Clinton

In November election between McCain and Obama: 15% would stay home



Update 7:00pm EST: Kentucky polls are closed.

Kentucky is called for Hillary Clinton.

Exit polling:

65% of regular church goers vote for HRC
47% looking for ‘change’ candidate
62% believe HRC can beat McCain
35% believe BHO can beat McCain

[PM7nj]

2. People on Daily Kos were saying it was light overall but heavy in Louisville. nt

[monmouth]

3. Many thanks...n/t

[book_worm]

4. I heard Louisville is a Obama stronghold. Maybe he'll do better than expected?

[featherman]

5. Worth watching tonight for turnout by county and Obama pulling over 30%

statewide. Oregon's vote is heavy. Possible "popular vote" advantage to Obama today... hard to say.

I guess what I am looking at is not important in the larger scheme of things but interests me anyway:

Both states are about the same size and Dem registration. Both are closed primaries.

Oregon is looking at a 70% turnout due to excitement and ease of mail-in ballot voting. A 16% Obama win in Oregon (58-42) is about the same popular vote as a 25% (60-35-5) win in Kentucky for Clinton IF the KY turnout is only about 45%.

This parameter could be kind of close depending on how the above numbers shake out.

[PM7nj]

7. Maybe. But don't get your hopes up.

Obama will do well in Louisville, but not enough to have a major effect on the total results like he did in Indianapolis and Philadelphia.

[featherman]

10. There's also Lexington and Covington as population centers unlike WV

[Buzz Clik]

9. Heavy in an Obama district? Outstanding.

[flpoljunkie]

30. Interesting. Louisville has been said to be the city Obama will win in Kentucky.

[IndyOp]

6. I've made 100 calls to Louisville this morning -

of the 24 people I spoke to, 1 will not vote today, 2 will vote for "other" today, and the other 21 have already voted for Obama or will be voting for Obama.

The other 76 calls were busy (no answer) or I left a message or it was a wrong number.

Of the 24 people I called only 1 was not planning to vote today.

Keep in mind that these call lists are supposed to be strong Obama supporters only -- still it suggests that there is pretty good turnout in Louisville.

I drove down on Sunday and canvassed in two areas --- one apartment complex and a ritzy neighborhood --- we got good responses at the apartments and got a few votes out of the ritzy neighborhood.

Those are my 2-cents.

If anyone reading this post can make calls -- we've got 2.5 hours to GET OUT THE VOTE -

http://my.barackobama.com/page/contact/main/callkentucky

[mystieus]

14. you're making me optimistic

[IndyOp]

22. Don't go getting all optimistic...

Make a few calls if you can...
http://my.barackobama.com/page/contact/main/callkentucky

[woolldog]

16. wow.

Great effort IndyOP. :applause:

[DisgustipatedinCA]

8. I can give you some anecdotal information

I voted this morning at about 8AM in Louisville. There was a better-than-usual turnout for that time of the morning. I'd say there were more people there than this time last year (gubernatorial race). Louisville is definitely the blue part of the state. I work downtown, and we have competing Obama and Clinton corners at various intersections in the area. Earlier, there was a cowboy with lasso doing rope tricks for Obama while Hillary supporters on the other corner were trying to get attention with the signs they had made. It was a good-natured scene.

Finally, the resident GOPer at work, who lives 30 or 40 miles away in one of the outlying towns, said he didn't bother to vote this morning. It wouldn't matter anyway, and he's never liked McCain much in the first place, etc, etc. Hope he's still singing the same tune in November.

I really hope Obama can come within 10 points here. I don't expect it; but here's hoping.

[IndyOp]

21. Louisville has around 40% of all Democrats who live in Kentucky so

great Louisville turnout just means that there are far more people participating in the Democratic primary than the Republican primary -- which is good. No clear advantage to either Clinton or Obama in good turnout in Louisville.

I am glad to hear that the scene with both Obama and Clinton supporters was positive this morning --- that, to me, is more important than the ultimate outcome in Kentucky today.

:hi:

P.S. I hope Obama comes within 20 points -- given that most polls have Clinton up by 30% and only 538.com has Clinton up by only 19% then Obama would be in good shape to pull within 20 points.

[iamthebandfanman]

11. im hearing turnout is light. n/t

[Texas Hill Country]

23. you guys are hilarious... KY turnout is unusually high - link inside.

http://www.kentucky.com/254/story/410423.html

[featherman]

24. Thanks for the link but 25-30% is not "unusually high" where I come from

The Oregon turnout is projected to be around 70% on the Dem side. You have to extrapolate but the Secretary of State is looking at 50-60% overall with much lower percentages of GOP and IND participating.

http://www.oregonlive.com/politics/oregonian/index.ssf?/base/news/1211261111282260.xml&coll=7

[PM7nj]

25. " 'Surprisingly low' turnout in the Highlands"

http://www.courier-journal.com/blogs/politics/2008/05/surprisingly-low-turnout-in-highlands.html

There seem to be conflicting reports. Looks like turnout is big in Louisville but low in other parts of the state.

[dchill]

27. That would be nice.

REAL nice. Crossing my fingers, but it probably won't help, since I'm not superstitious. ;)

[Barack_America]

28. It would be nice if someone was doing region by region reports...

Like that blog was during the South Carolina primary.

That was really useful.

[dchill]

29. Yeah, we're just jealous!

:hi: