RCP just dropped Obama's EV count from 311 to 291.

[bkinsd]

Not sure what that is all about.

[swag]

1. Go outside and play.

[graywarrior]

18. Ha ha ha ha ha ha ha!

[HughMoran]

2. did that hours ago

more "toss ups"

[Sebastian Doyle]

3. Sounds like Rightwing Conservative Polls got the Diebold numbers in.....

They have adjusted the numbers for the states that can be stolen.

[WeDidIt]

4. They put Ohio back in tossup

Look at what's ion play. Not a single tossup was blue in 2004.

Chill the fuck out. Obama's got this.

[bkinsd]

7. Oh, I know he's got it. I just find all the last minute jumping around

of the polls fascinating. Plus, I don't get why Ohio is a toss-up. Obama has a much bigger lead compared to Kerry at this time last year.

[SuperTrouper]

5. McCain with only 132. It is over, McCain will LOSE

[RL3AO]

6. must have flipped Ohio (20 EV's)

[JJ]

8. ES&S sent them Tuesday's final vote count.

[clarkgabe]

9. Now it's 278 for Obama. Is it trending down? Get out and VOTE!

Get out the VOTE!

[Patsy Stone]

12. You realize that's without any toss-up states included, right?

That means that even if a miracle occurs and McCain wins all of the toss-ups, Obama still wins the election.

Don't worry; you will have a President Obama.

[FloridaGrl]

20. Do the math

if you can- 278 is 8 more than the 270 needed to win. Thanks for the motivation though.

[Mayberry Machiavelli]

23. LOL

[AtomicKitten]

10. He only needs 270.

[jefferson_dem]

11. VA and OH just moved to toss-up.

We'll call that "The Mason-Dixon Effect."

[Shoelace]

14. weekend polls are notoriously "leaning Republican"

especially with the "quasi holiday" ones (Halloween). That's what I read this am and am thinking that's probably correct but we'll know more tomorrow morning.
The Columbus Dispatch, latest poll on Ohio has Obama still up by 6 points in today's poll. PLUS, early voting is leaning 2-1 in favor of Dems in NC, VA.
AND, Arizona in some polls is now a "toss up" state!!

[chascarrillo]

13. A Republican website shows the race narrowing? Color me shocked.

[mvd]

15. I did hear it leans right

Does anyone have more info. on this?

[AlCzervik]

19. a freeper started RCP, can't remember his name though, i posted the info like what seems

a million years ago---Started by a freeper---yes it was.

[chascarrillo]

24. Sorry - I should have used the word "conservative"

My bad.

Still, I think the site is rightist. Here's an interesting article from Nate Silver at 538 on RCP's cherry-picking of data to help McCain:

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/09/real-credibility-problems.html

[Duke Newcombe]

16. Yeah...Obama might get only 270 Electoral Votes...

Do you know what we'll call him if that happens?


Mr. President-Elect.


Go have a cold adult beverage, and stop worrying.

[soleft]

17. They have Florida as toss up instead of leaning

Even tho in their average of polls, Obama is up up 4 percent.

[Darian]

21. Hasn't RCP always been pretty conservative?

Oh well. Obama still at 353 on the no toss-up map. That's the one that really matters. Regardless of whether Obama wins with 270 or 400+, he's still the next president.

[book_worm]

22. OH NOES!!!

[Vektor]

25. Electoral Vote has Obama at 353.

You can massage any result you want out of the polls by just looking at different sources.

http://www.electoral-vote.com/

Basically the race tightening = more people paying attention, visiting your website, clicking on your news stories.

It's no surprise the "race is tightening" on the final weekend. If it weren't, nobody would be paying attention.

Obama has a solid lead, always has, the only way he will "lose" is by fraud so massive, and so widespread that it is beyond ridiculous.

Edit to add link.

[crossroads]

26. So, what's your point?

Doubt is poison in the community well! Thank positive and take a walk to chill out!
CR

[Cosmic Charlie]

27. all aboard the Troll Talk Express!!