AlCzervik
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Sun Nov-02-08 03:47 PM
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HughMoran
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Sun Nov-02-08 03:48 PM
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1. Are those new Pew numbers? |
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I hadn't seen those yet!
Down to 6 points huh? Well, at least we know this is likley a pretty accurate assesment - I'll take 6!
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AlCzervik
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Sun Nov-02-08 03:49 PM
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2. yes those are the new numbers. |
jefferson_dem
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Sun Nov-02-08 03:51 PM
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3. That's the spirit, Hugh! |
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I trust the shit out of PEW. Six points is an electoral landslide. Check out the record...and the "strong" support for Obama - http://people-press.org/report/468/obama-leads-mccain-in-final-days
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grantcart
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Sun Nov-02-08 04:10 PM
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15. they are also the final pew numbers |
HughMoran
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Sun Nov-02-08 04:14 PM
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17. +7 (+6 including 3rd party) is fine with me |
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I expect an approximately 6% win myself.
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TheDonkey
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Sun Nov-02-08 03:56 PM
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Phoonzang
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Sun Nov-02-08 03:56 PM
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5. What happened in a few days to make Obama go from |
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a 15 point lead to a 7 point lead?
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AkFemDem
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Sun Nov-02-08 04:00 PM
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yourguide
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Sun Nov-02-08 04:02 PM
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10. no one cares about khalidi. |
AkFemDem
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Sun Nov-02-08 04:05 PM
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13. Wrong. I personally know someone who says this tipped her vote to McCain |
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Edited on Sun Nov-02-08 04:06 PM by AkFemDem
and I don't know a whole lot of people. I think she was leaning McCain anyway, but she attribites this stoyr as "the last straw".
THe polls have showed tightening in recent days and I think its well within the realm of "reasonable" to infer a negative Khalidi-PR campaign had some effect. Negative campaigning, for all its distastefulness- works. That's why they keep doing it.
I think it's too little, too late, Obama has this race won. But I'm not blind to the fact these types of stories have some effect.
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PaDem
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Sun Nov-02-08 04:02 PM
Response to Reply #8 |
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it's the non-stop negative McCain ads running across the country on Rev. Wright and other absurd issues. Khalidi isn't on many people's radar.
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TheDonkey
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Sun Nov-02-08 04:04 PM
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12. My guess, there is a recalibaration of "LVs" |
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ie. adding more republicans into the mix.
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fugop
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Sun Nov-02-08 04:08 PM
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14. From the other Pew thread |
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It seems they changed their Party ID weighting. Last one gave the Dems something like a 15-point advantage, from what I saw? This one cut it to a 10% Dem advantage. That might have a little something to do with it...
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bigdarryl
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Sun Nov-02-08 03:59 PM
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6. What's the difference between likely and registered? |
scheming daemons
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Sun Nov-02-08 03:59 PM
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Bush 49 Gore 47
Result: 49-49
They're accuracy record is impeccable. A 6-point win sounds about right.
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bigdarryl
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Sun Nov-02-08 04:00 PM
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9. those numbers are not right Gore won the popular vote |
scheming daemons
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Sun Nov-02-08 04:14 PM
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16. Both Gore and Bush's numbers rounded out to 49% |
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Gore's win in the pop vote was about 500,000 nationwide.... this was less than half a percent.
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Sat May 11th 2024, 02:50 PM
Response to Original message |