book_worm
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Sun Nov-02-08 04:08 PM
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**********What are your elecoral/Popular vote predictions********** |
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I've finally made mine:
Obama: 53% McCain: 45%
As usual the electoral vote would reflect a 8-point national victory:
Obama: 402 McCain: 136 (Obama wins Kerry states plus: Colorado, Florida, Indiana, Missouri, Nevada, Iowa, New Mexico, North Carolina, Virginia, Ohio, and thanks to an energized black turnout--Georgia)
In 1988, Bush I beat Dukakis by 53-45 and took EV 427-109.
What are your predictions?
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dmallind
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Sun Nov-02-08 04:13 PM
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Edited on Sun Nov-02-08 04:14 PM by dmallind
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MadBadger
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Sun Nov-02-08 04:14 PM
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2. Obama 51.5, McCain 45.2....Obama 352, McCain 186 |
Lakerstan
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Sun Nov-02-08 04:22 PM
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3. Obama - 326, McCain - 212 - and that's skewing things toward McCain... |
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Giving McCain Indiana, Missouri, Florida and Georgia off of your list. Not saying Obama can't/won't win them - just cautiously optimistic (mini-concern troll living in my brain).
Popular: 51% Obama, 46% McCain, the rest for Barr, etc...
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Motown_Johnny
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Sun Nov-02-08 04:32 PM
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4. 52-47-1 with 286 EV.. yes it is conservative but it is still a win |
deadmessengers
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Sun Nov-02-08 04:33 PM
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5. Obama wins 50-47, 291-247 |
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Obama wins all the Kerry states + Colorado, New Mexico, Iowa, Nevada, and Virginia.
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Dawgs
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Sun Nov-02-08 04:36 PM
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Lakerstan
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Sun Nov-02-08 05:05 PM
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7. Check out what the pundits think: |
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Edited on Sun Nov-02-08 05:06 PM by Lakerstan
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book_worm
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Sun Nov-02-08 06:33 PM
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pot luck
(326 posts)
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Sun Nov-02-08 05:10 PM
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8. PV: O 52.2 - M 46.1, EV: O 322 - M 216 |
grantcart
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Sun Nov-02-08 05:17 PM
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9. O 56% M 42% EV Obama 397 McCain 141 |
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I am speculating that many McCain supporters and undecideds are going to be discouraged by the long lines to vote, especially in the big blue states like CA and NY, if they haven't voted by absentee many will just stay home.
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Darian
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Sun Nov-02-08 05:30 PM
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10. O: 53% 396 EV, M: 44%142 EV |
HughMoran
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Sun Nov-02-08 05:33 PM
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I'll gladly err on the side of caution every time though - it's in my nature.
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Stop Cornyn
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Sun Nov-02-08 05:44 PM
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12. I like your EV numbers, but I'm expecting Obama - 347 EVs, 52%; McCain - 191 EVs, 46% |
blue_onyx
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Sun Nov-02-08 06:03 PM
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13. Obama 55% vs. McCain 44% |
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EV: Obama 399 vs. McCain 139
Kerry states plus: Nevada, New Mexico, Colorado, Montana, North Dakota, Iowa, Missouri, Indiana, Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina, Georgia, and Florida.
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Tribetime
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Sun Nov-02-08 06:37 PM
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15. Obama 54.38% 380-400 elecoral |
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Sat May 11th 2024, 05:57 AM
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