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Funny how pundits presume a candidate will lose states he never trails in

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Kurt_and_Hunter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-03-08 12:13 PM
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Funny how pundits presume a candidate will lose states he never trails in
I remain amused that TV talking heads assume McCain will win Florida and Ohio despite the fact that Obama keeps leading in both states in just about every poll released.

I don't have the numbers in front of me, but I would guess that Obama's lead in Ohio is bigger than Kerry's lead in a number of blue states in 2004.

It's not that McCain cannot possibly win FL or OH... just that I don't know of any reason to think he will.


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/fl/florida_mccain_vs_obama-418.html

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/oh/ohio_mccain_vs_obama-400.html
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niceypoo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-03-08 12:17 PM
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1. Seems to me that Obama needs to be 6+ points ahead for a state to 'lean' his way
Pennsylvania is supposedly 'leaning' obama with over a ten point lead.

The pundits have been wrong about EVERYTHING since the primaries started. I don't listen to a word they say anymore.
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