If the US averages 1,000 COVID-19 deaths a day, it will have a quarter million by election day

[Celerity]

1,000 a day is almost 60% less than the death count from yesterday.

If yesterday's death rate is the overall average, then the total will be around HALF a million dead.

If it is reduced to an average of 500 a day, it still yields 160,000+ dead by election day.

706 deaths a day yields 200,000 dead by election day.

If there is 2nd wave, it will kick in and start to ramp up by the end of September, beginning of October, so you would have 5 or so weeks of ramping up rates right before the election.