If the US averages 1,000 COVID-19 deaths a day, it will have a quarter million by election day

[Celerity]

5. if you predictions come true, the election as a valid one is on serious jeopardy (it will be

regardless I fear.)

The Rethugs will not only try and block any and all new vote-by-mail initiatives, and will call any increase by states in mail-in ballots as corrupt and a priori fraud laden, and challenge it all.

They also will try and crush the USPS's ability to handle the ballots.

Finally, IF your predictions are accurate, then it WILL crush the turnout. People will be losing their minds in fear, other than the brainwashed MAGATs, who will be urged to be cannon fodder and man/woman the fuck up and go vote Rethug and Trump, even if it kills them.

The Dem voters are not brainwashed and will stay away in droves, which could be completely disastrous.

Trump re-elected and a (worst case) 59-41 (we lose AL, VA, NM, MN, MI, and NH, and flip zero back) Rethug Senate majority, plus a loss of the House (60 seats plus lost.) The pressure on Manchin to flip parties and become the filibuster breaking 60th Rethug will be insane, as WV in that scenario, may vote 80, 85% for Trump. Hell, if Chicago is a warzone of death, Durbin may even go down, giving them 60 seats without Manchin.

I cannot see that happening, but there is your worst case scenario (driven by a completely runaway COVID-19 tsunami combined with vote-by-mail systemically crushed)