Democrats are obviously hugely motivated this election. What about Republican voters? [View all]
No, I'm not counting on anything here... GOTV, don't get complacent, yadda, yadda... I know.
But I do wonder if many Republican voters, especially older voters, aren't so eager to get out there in the middle of COVID and risk their lives to vote for Mango Mussolini. They've been scared away from mail-in voting by their own party, which many Republican voters used to favor. How many people accustomed to mail-in, who may not have gone to a polling station in years, will follow through with an in-person vote after giving up on mail-in?
In the media we mostly see the loudest, craziest, most obnoxious Trump supporters who make a lot of noise. But what about other, quieter Republican voters? The kind who will reflexively pull the lever for anyone with an (R) after their name, who can't bring themselves to vote for any Democrat, but who aren't entirely immersed in a world of Fox News propaganda, and can see what an embarrassing fuck-up Trump is?
I've got my fingers crossed that a lot of the polls we're seeing, already favoring Biden quite a bit, are over-estimating Republican turnout, and underestimating Democratic turnout.