Democrats are obviously hugely motivated this election. What about Republican voters?

[jcgoldie]

5. He has shrunken the base and run independents away but...

The 40% that has stuck by him does seem very motivated. They have circled the wagons, the more offensive Trump has become the more defensive his supporters seem to be. They will get out their vote but as long as we do as well there is simply not enough of them and every action he takes seems to further restrict his ability to grow his support.

I went across south central Illinois saturday on a road trip to pick up a new buck for my goat herd. I'm very used to these red rural areas and should not be surprised but after all that's happen I was still a little dismayed by the sheer volume of Trump yard signs and shows of support. I realize that yard signs don't vote and also Trump has no chance in Illinois, but do not fool yourself into believing that he has lost rural America. If there are this many people willing to display their support proudly in southern Illinois despite the fact that the president is a completely inept lying embarrassment, then I have no doubt Iowa and rural Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, states where the election hinges are no different.