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In reply to the discussion: Can someone confirm this? [View all]NH Ethylene
(30,803 posts)12. The number is valid!
The seven-day average in US deaths from Covid has been between 8,000 and 10,000 over the past few weeks, according to WorldOMeters.
That's a range of 1143 to 1429 a day, which would be 11,430 - 14,290 deaths over a 10-day period. I will round down to 13,000, give a few deaths would be children and also, only 99% of the deaths are unvaccinated people.
Here is the percent of those who have been vaccinated, by Party (from Gallup Poll):
Democrats: 88 percent
Independents: 60 percent
Republicans: 55 percent
Here is the party breakdown:
49% Democrats
40% Republicans
11% remaining undeclared
So if we multiply to see what portion of adults in each Party are UNvaccinated:
40% of the country x 45% = 18% UNvaccinated Republicans
12% x 49% = 5.9% unvaccinated Democrats
40% x 11% = 4.4% unvaccinated Independents
So 18% of the nation is made up of unvaccinated Republicans and 10.3% for all others who are unvaccinated. This is 28.3% total unvaccinated adults. (This is less than the national figures because the published figures include many children).
18/28.3 x 100 = 63.6% of the deaths are unvaccinated Republicans (except for the small number that are children)
If 99% of the deaths are unvaccinated people, 99% X 13,000 = 12870 unvaccinated deaths in the US over 10 days
Child deaths amount to 0.057%, (from CDC) so 0.057% X 12,870 = 7.3 children died
That leaves 12,863 unvaccinated adults over a 10-day period, of which 63.6% are Republicans.
63.6% X 12,863 = 8181
So saying that 8,000 unvaccinated Republicans are dying every 10 days looks to be very accurate!
Please let me know if I screwed up the calculations.
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I would love to know at what rate the Republicans are killing off their voters.
gldstwmn
Sep 2021
#4
We deviously got the Republicans to skip the vaccine by asking them to take it.
KentuckyWoman
Sep 2021
#9
Yep, you've got it. I got 8,187 based on the same parameters. Delta is rounding.
paleotn
Sep 2021
#24
Republican zip codes have a higher vaccination rate than inner city zip codes where I live.
LeftInTX
Sep 2021
#20
fixed, did not notice it when I posted it via my phone whist I was on the tunnelbana
Celerity
Sep 2021
#35