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General Discussion

democrattotheend

(12,011 posts)

2. That's not terrible given the circumstances

Reply to WarGamer (Original post)

Tue Jul 23, 2024, 11:23 AM

Jul 2024

She probably needs at least a 4-5 point lead in the national polls going into the election to have a chance, given the electoral advantage Republicans have, but polls are a lagging indicator and she hasn't really had the chance to reintroduce herself to the American people yet. On the other hand, they haven't had a chance to take a lot of shots at her yet either.

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Lemonwurst still-prayin4rain

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Post-Launch, the first Harris vs Trump polling. [View all] WarGamer Jul 2024 OP

Hopefully she can pull in more Dems and start convincing others Renew Deal Jul 2024 #1

That's not terrible given the circumstances democrattotheend Jul 2024 #2

It's an instant +4 move so a great start. WarGamer Jul 2024 #4

I am not sure that's the case anymore Johnny2X2X Jul 2024 #7

No that's not why we need the cushion. WarGamer Jul 2024 #9

? Mme. Defarge Jul 2024 #10

Read the post I was responding to. WarGamer Jul 2024 #13

You may be right democrattotheend Jul 2024 #15

It takes a week, at least, for polls to reflect reality if they ever do any more. Wounded Bear Jul 2024 #3

If the young folk are energized and turn out, Qutzupalotl Jul 2024 #5

Not enough data. This will only get better as she consolidates the Democratic vote, which was why I believe JohnSJ Jul 2024 #6

That's one of the biggest subjective guesses in polls, how does enthusiasm translate into votes. lees1975 Jul 2024 #11

Exactly. JohnSJ Jul 2024 #14

Amazing such instant movement! BigDemVoter Jul 2024 #8

Way too early to have much impact on polls. honest.abe Jul 2024 #12

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