Post-Launch, the first Harris vs Trump polling.

[JohnSJ]

6. Not enough data. This will only get better as she consolidates the Democratic vote, which was why I believe

the polls were somewhat inaccurate before Biden decided not to seek another term. In other words, while those Democrats were less enthusiastic about Biden, there is no doubt in my mind that they would have come home in November, and voted for Biden, and that could not be measured in the polls.

That being said, that Democratic consolidation will happen much quicker now behind Harris, and I fully expect the poll numbers reflect that relatively quickly.

July and August will have Democrats on the front page, because of the virtual convention, and unified convention in August. In other words we will have the last word before the actual campaigning goes into full drive, and we should see that in the poll numbers.