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WarGamer

(17,715 posts)

9. No that's not why we need the cushion.

Reply to Johnny2X2X (Reply #7)

Tue Jul 23, 2024, 12:01 PM

Jul 2024

We need the cushion because of California.

In 2016 Trump won the popular vote in the 49 States (minus CA) but the Hillary vote total in CA (she won by 4+ million) pushed her to a big 3 million vote lead in the popular vote.

Clinton beat Trump by 2.1%

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Post-Launch, the first Harris vs Trump polling. [View all] WarGamer Jul 2024 OP

Hopefully she can pull in more Dems and start convincing others Renew Deal Jul 2024 #1

That's not terrible given the circumstances democrattotheend Jul 2024 #2

It's an instant +4 move so a great start. WarGamer Jul 2024 #4

I am not sure that's the case anymore Johnny2X2X Jul 2024 #7

No that's not why we need the cushion. WarGamer Jul 2024 #9

? Mme. Defarge Jul 2024 #10

Read the post I was responding to. WarGamer Jul 2024 #13

You may be right democrattotheend Jul 2024 #15

It takes a week, at least, for polls to reflect reality if they ever do any more. Wounded Bear Jul 2024 #3

If the young folk are energized and turn out, Qutzupalotl Jul 2024 #5

Not enough data. This will only get better as she consolidates the Democratic vote, which was why I believe JohnSJ Jul 2024 #6

That's one of the biggest subjective guesses in polls, how does enthusiasm translate into votes. lees1975 Jul 2024 #11

Exactly. JohnSJ Jul 2024 #14

Amazing such instant movement! BigDemVoter Jul 2024 #8

Way too early to have much impact on polls. honest.abe Jul 2024 #12

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