General Discussion

Johnny2X2X

(22,775 posts)

15. We are ahead in the swing state polls

Tue Sep 17, 2024, 12:33 PM

Sep 2024

Right now Harris leads in the polling average in PA, MI, NV, and WI. Wisconsin is almost not even a swing state anymore because Harris is ahead enough. Michigan is sloidly for harris right now.

Trump has razor thin leads in AZ, GA, and NC.

And what's more is the state polls are less frequent, the debate seems to have had a 2 point impact, so Harris could be ahead in all of these states soon and well ahead in PA, MI, and WI.

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LeftinOH senseandsensibility Dock_Yard

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New Morning Consult National Poll: Harris 51 Trump 45 [View all] VMA131Marine Sep 2024 OP

So the Big Village poll that had her up by 7 is not an outlier. The polls that have it within 3 are the outliers. lees1975 Sep 2024 #1

The real outlier is the AtlasIntel (who) poll VMA131Marine Sep 2024 #6

Post debate Johnny2X2X Sep 2024 #12

Anything that has Trump breaking 47% nationally I question Trenzalore Sep 2024 #20

Even though some are focusing on the really small parties still out there. GreenWave Sep 2024 #7

In before poo pooers arrive Johnny2X2X Sep 2024 #2

Great news, but act like we're behind. "Trump is just slightly favored to win according to media" ck4829 Sep 2024 #3

Amen!! oldsoftie Sep 2024 #25

Fantastic! And thanks for the link. That's a super way to see a given pollsters recent changes! MLAA Sep 2024 #4

Yes we are not ahead kansasobama Sep 2024 #5

We're going to be ahead in the swing state MontanaFarmer Sep 2024 #8

We are ahead in the swing state polls Johnny2X2X Sep 2024 #15

Depends on the polls. She is leading in all of the swing states and it keeps getting bigger. lees1975 Sep 2024 #10

I like good news too, but.... OrangeJoe Sep 2024 #26

She only has to win PA, MI and WI to get to 270! PortTack Sep 2024 #38

What? We are ahead in most swing state polls of the blue wall. Sky Jewels Sep 2024 #29

Saw one post here today that was +3 in PA. PA, MI and WI have only voted once in 30+ yrs for the gqp candidate PortTack Sep 2024 #37

This poll says she is obamanut2012 Sep 2024 #46

Always love to see a poll with that 50% or greater number... Wounded Bear Sep 2024 #9

This is why Agent Orange and the fake hillbilly are becoming more shrill peggysue2 Sep 2024 #11

They're desperately hoping for a polling bounce from the no-shot "assassination attempt." SunSeeker Sep 2024 #16

I want a landslide of epic proportions like the 64 election kimbutgar Sep 2024 #13

I want North Carolina, Georgia and Florida in the win column by 8PM Nov. 5th Aviation Pro Sep 2024 #14

Not Enough Roy Rolling Sep 2024 #17

The MSM still calls it "neck and neck" and shows pics of Trump instead of Kamala! SunSeeker Sep 2024 #18

WOW! Coexist Sep 2024 #19

I'm happiest when I see a minimum of 750 respondents and a maximum of 3.5% MOE Rocknation Sep 2024 #21

Nice, but once again only swing state polls really matter. oldsoftie Sep 2024 #22

Agree about NC kansasobama Sep 2024 #24

The GOP Gov candidate in NC is a nut job too; he may hurt trump oldsoftie Sep 2024 #27

Mark Robinson, In Any Other Time... GB_RN Sep 2024 #42

LOL! oldsoftie Sep 2024 #45

Swing state polls strongly correlate to national polls gristy Sep 2024 #34

Hope we win GA, NC, AZ kansasobama Sep 2024 #23

Daily Mail has Harris up Johnny2X2X Sep 2024 #28

What poll? kansasobama Sep 2024 #31

JL Partners Daily Mail Poll Johnny2X2X Sep 2024 #33

270towin is such a great website rogerballard Sep 2024 #30

Electoral-Vote.com MissouriDem47 Sep 2024 #36

Cool thanks for the tip rogerballard Sep 2024 #39

EV Is Great. GB_RN Sep 2024 #41

His floor has eroded a bit. pat_k Sep 2024 #32

Over 50%...definitely in the winning category....not much on polls, but consistency in most of the polls is noted! PortTack Sep 2024 #35

A Margin Of Error Of 1%? GB_RN Sep 2024 #40

I agree with all of that under the assumption that VMA131Marine Sep 2024 #43

Without A Doubt... GB_RN Sep 2024 #44

It is still not safe enough. We need 7 or 9 point lead. applegrove Sep 2024 #47