I understand all the lousy feelings about polls and data on early voting. However,

[Ocelot II]

4. I've been wondering whether there aren't people in every community

who don't support Trump but have to act like they do in order to get along with the people they have to live and work with - family, neighbors, co-workers, church, etc., but will vote for Harris and not tell anyone. If you live in Butthole, Alabama and all your neighbors and your church members and your siblings and maybe even your spouse are MAGAs, you'll probably keep quiet if you don't agree with them. I'm guessing this might be more likely among women with MAGA husbands than the other way around. There might not be a lot of these people but I bet there are some. And in some places it might make a difference.