I understand all the lousy feelings about polls and data on early voting. However,

[Rstrstx]

9. The only states that look bad on paper are AZ and NV

Where there are clearly more Republicans voting early than in the past.

Most of the other states are seeing similar percentages to 2020, though at lower turnout rates.

It looks particularly good in MI and WI. One of those states, I can’t remember which, has seen a sharp decline in R turnout, though most of them seem to have moved into the unaffiliated column. Still, I can’t imagine most of those people moving from R to unaligned just so they could vote for Trump.

The double digit gap of women to men voting is even more encouraging.