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SickOfTheOnePct

(8,351 posts)

1. That's a polls-only forecast

Reply to uawchild (Original post)

Sun Jul 31, 2016, 11:26 AM

Jul 2016

Polls-plus forecast (economy, trends, etc.) has a 60.9% to 39.1% chance for Hillary to win, and the now-cast (who would win if the election were held today) has a 56.8% to 43.2% chance that Hillary would win.

And that last number is the first time in a week that Hillary is up in the now-cast, so that's a good thing.

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Who will win the presidency? [View all] uawchild Jul 2016 OP

That's a polls-only forecast SickOfTheOnePct Jul 2016 #1

Why does he include Johnson but NOT the Green party? fasttense Jul 2016 #2

Or it might because the Green Party isn't polling well. NuclearDem Jul 2016 #3

Clinton in a landslide. Rex Jul 2016 #4

Who will be President. Johnny2X2X Jul 2016 #5

No way Clinton loses. egduj Jul 2016 #6

only way Clinton loses is if she were to bollocks up all the debates Grey Lemercier Jul 2016 #7

Clinton will win in a rout. However, it's the Senate .. ananda Jul 2016 #8