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moonshinegnomie

(3,535 posts)

94. the actual timeline of NWS warnings

Sat Jul 5, 2025, 02:11 PM

Jul 5

Early Week: NWS offices (San Antonio & Austin) flagged heavy rain potential by Sunday, extending alerts through Wednesday.

By Tuesday–Wednesday: Messaging mentioned Thursday flood risk.Thursday: Flood watches were issued. By late afternoon, a “Slight Risk” of excessive rain (WPC 2/4) was highlighted—which in hindsight may have underplayed the potential.

How Did the Weather Models Perform?HRRR: Wednesday night runs showed 7–9″ bullseyes; by Thursday morning, projected 10–13″, and later up to 20″ in key flash-flood zones.

HREF: Also signaled >10″ potential early Thursday using probability-matched mean—providing solid foresight for forecasters

flash Flood Warnings kicked off just before midnight Friday as rain rates exceeded 3–4″/hr.Flash Flood Emergencies were declared around 4 AM Friday in Kerrville and near San Angelo as over 10″ fell

in addition the NWS issued a flash flood warning at 1:15am
local officials didnt tell people to evacuate til 4-6 hours later
https://www.kxan.com/investigations/conflicting-officials-social-posts-leave-evacuation-delays-questions-in-kerr-county-flooding/

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TrumanTheTiger rictofen Dock_Yard Silver Gaia

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Highlight:

Texas Officials Blame Agency Gutted by Trump for Results of Deadly Storm [View all] riversedge Jul 5 OP

The water was very wet. DJT. twodogsbarking Jul 5 #1

Sadly add these preventable deaths to the convicted idiot's record: Justice matters. Jul 5 #43

Trump's response to the Covid pandemic set the pattern for this. sop Jul 5 #54

Cruelty is the point. /nt brakester Jul 5 #83

THIS is what you all voted for. MLWR Jul 5 #2

Shall I pass your cheerful message on to my daughter's friends? Paladin Jul 5 #16

Let's just blame Trump and his basket of thugs. twodogsbarking Jul 5 #30

Obviously the problem is that it was not sold off to Accuweather like Reagan wanted. LiberalArkie Jul 5 #40

I live about two miles from Accuweather. There are many stories. Peace. Happy 5th of July. twodogsbarking Jul 5 #99

I am so sorry. murielm99 Jul 5 #31

I probably ought to be able to handle it better. God knows I see this sort of thing on DU, way too often. Paladin Jul 5 #38

My heart goes out to you and your friends. I hope her daughter is okay. chowder66 Jul 5 #36

I'm so sorry. littlemissmartypants Jul 5 #55

I am a Dem Texas voter. Many of my now grown daughters 's friends went to that camp and their daughters probably efhmc Jul 5 #66

One of my middle child's classmates used to go to Camp Mystic every summer LetMyPeopleVote Jul 5 #84

Disagree Mary Adeline Jul 5 #113

I am well-aware of how Texas voted. Paladin Jul 5 #114

Please do!! DFW Jul 6 #121

Agree. I mean Texas officials complaining turns irony on its head completely. ananda Jul 5 #52

Abbott DENVERPOPS Jul 5 #76

Never underestimate the conservative "pro-life" contempt Dr. T Jul 5 #98

Because it's never been about "pro-life"... regnaD kciN Jul 5 #101

Feels good, doesn't it? Using dead kids to dunk on people who you think deserve dead kids. WhiskeyGrinder Jul 5 #62

I post this map all the time but I'm guilty too, of red state/blue state thinking & speech. CrispyQ Jul 5 #78

The US Senate is essentially elected by Land. thought crime Jul 6 #123

This should be top news story of the weekend. Diamond_Dog Jul 5 #3

Let's see how many reporters are brave enough to report this on the news. Baitball Blogger Jul 5 #14

Dancing on the balcony underpants Jul 5 #4

Fox News really is a cancer on America Botany Jul 5 #6

That's Fox to a T. Ailes knew what he was doing. Sadly. underpants Jul 5 #87

Fox News' female talent are just like Murdoch's page 3 girls from "The Sun." Botany Jul 5 #90

Yep. If you've never seen "Bombshell" I'd highly recommend it underpants Jul 5 #95

Fox was built on lying by Ailes and Murdoch. "Feel the warmth of their marriage." Botany Jul 5 #96

I think I'm going to barf... llmart Jul 5 #7

P.S. to my post... llmart Jul 5 #9

It's the double giraffe jerkoff Aviation Pro Jul 5 #11

The two handed handy J as his feet are stuck in concrete dance Botany Jul 5 #17

He thinks he's cool and hip. llmart Jul 5 #33

It's worse than embarrassing. Much worse. sop Jul 5 #56

Krasnov's mental illness doesn't let him see himself as the complete buffoon that he is. Botany Jul 5 #86

Spot-on assessment Batshit_Bruin_CA Jul 5 #106

Elaine Benes of "Seinfeld" has a similar style. oasis Jul 6 #122

The convicted idiot said he has a good life... Justice matters. Jul 5 #46

Did he really say that? llmart Jul 5 #79

He said that (and worse) after a question about how long detainees Justice matters. Jul 5 #116

That's why I skip a hell of a lot of MTN videos. Jesus,that guy is obsessed with playing FOX vids Bengus81 Jul 5 #28

Yes, I quit watching NJCher Jul 5 #29

I skip them all SCantiGOP Jul 5 #45

Same electricmonk Jul 5 #71

If ever there was a project for AI, transcribing video would be a good one! CrispyQ Jul 5 #80

Faux crew is disgusting. Nt Trueblue Texan Jul 5 #15

Hitler used to do a little dance, too. murielm99 Jul 5 #32

I thought you were kidding Farmer-Rick Jul 5 #39

The "I murdered six million Jews" dance... sop Jul 5 #60

Me too. llmart Jul 5 #81

The pattern continues Farmer-Rick Jul 5 #37

trump went golfing also LetMyPeopleVote Jul 5 #85

So much empathy. BidenRocks Jul 5 #93

T💩p is jerking off two ghosts again I see. OMGWTF Jul 5 #103

Yes yes and yes. 👍 underpants Jul 5 #109

There are going to be millions more of senseless, unnecessary deaths gab13by13 Jul 5 #5

It doesn't matter if they kill people, ruin lives, and crash the economy because the vote is so rigged. Botany Jul 5 #8

No... GiqueCee Jul 5 #10

This................... Lovie777 Jul 5 #18

Hell no. Don't forget, he's one of the club. Those billionaire tax cuts also directly benefit him. the nelm Jul 5 #20

minus casualties??? llmart Jul 5 #34

Also can't let people hear there might be something to human cause climate change DBoon Jul 5 #48

Sady, they'll just blame this on "big government" Diraven Jul 5 #12

So now a State government has tested the Theory of FAFO. Good Luck! n/t aggiesal Jul 5 #13

So how's the Texas emergency management agency doing with helping survivors? sinkingfeeling Jul 5 #19

It will be blamed on 'the government' and we all know who builds big government... travelingthrulife Jul 5 #21

President Biden's fault............. Lovie777 Jul 5 #24

Horrible democrank Jul 5 #22

It was always going to be: Not IF, but WHEN aeromanKC Jul 5 #23

This message was self-deleted by its author krkaufman Jul 5 #42

Paper towels for everyone. BradBo Jul 5 #25

a flood watch was issued teh day before moonshinegnomie Jul 5 #26

Also, isn't 6" - 8" inches of rain quite a serious amount? Mike 03 Jul 5 #47

its a serious amount moonshinegnomie Jul 5 #58

Ditto!! CrispyQ Jul 5 #92

Yes it is Strelnikov_ Jul 5 #110

Reminscent of Nixon's DST debacle bucolic_frolic Jul 5 #27

The bad weather is Biden's weather; the good weather is Trump's.... Ol Janx Spirit Jul 5 #35

Ya think TX officials' blaming or complaining matters to the felon? The only real talk the felon might care about is ancianita Jul 5 #41

Yet Trump's carnage continues Grim Chieftain Jul 5 #44

Yes. If there were an answer for your question we'd know it by now. ancianita Jul 5 #61

I agree Grim Chieftain Jul 5 #64

Well, then... ancianita Jul 5 #65

Well that little tirade was unnecessary Grim Chieftain Jul 5 #69

It wasn't mean to be that, just an explanation. ancianita Jul 5 #72

All is good Grim Chieftain Jul 5 #75

And a hurricane season is starting. LisaL Jul 5 #49

"I voted for leopards to eat other people's kids...then the leopards ate MY kids!" COL Mustard Jul 5 #50

There are good number of new members of the Leopards Eating People's Face Party LetMyPeopleVote Jul 5 #89

Also, the areas in Texas that were affected are deep red. ananda Jul 5 #51

Texas is MAGA ground-zero for bullshit and lies. Martin68 Jul 5 #53

I hate tRump, and agree the NWS and NOAA cuts are already proving disastrous. However, plenty txwhitedove Jul 5 #57

And yet TX leadership are full MAGAts mcar Jul 5 #59

We literally TOLD all magats that they'd be voting for Proj 2025 every single night at the 2024 DNC. ancianita Jul 5 #63

I'm in Florida mcar Jul 5 #67

Me, too, and yes we did. ancianita Jul 5 #70

🤞🤞🤞🤞 mcar Jul 5 #104

Four major effects of climate change... (his event is heartbreakng) NowsTheTime Jul 5 #68

Texas, are you living and learning yet ? republianmushroom Jul 5 #73

Will the GOPiggies in Congress do anything about it? Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Jul 5 #74

Texas Officials are blaming trump for the loss of life due to these floods LetMyPeopleVote Jul 5 #77

Again, it doesn't matter and TX officials know it. They just want to lie that they're doing their job for the public, ancianita Jul 5 #88

Maybe Trump shouldn't have defunded the NWS. LetMyPeopleVote Jul 5 #82

Go figure orangecrush Jul 5 #91

the actual timeline of NWS warnings moonshinegnomie Jul 5 #94

Has Texas done anything, Old Crank Jul 5 #97

That's what you get when you vote for a person who cares only about himself mdbl Jul 5 #100

I hope we claw back every cent from the all the GOP limited tax cuts for the wealthy IbogaProject Jul 5 #102

Abbot is on TV blathering about how Trump loves Texas Picaro Jul 5 #105

Of course... This was Inevitable! Cha Jul 5 #107

The ideological dismantling of NOAA and NWS begins on page 674 of Project 2025 and is well underway. LetMyPeopleVote Jul 5 #108

Two dozen kids are still missing stollen Jul 5 #111

Heads to roll Fiddlelady11 Jul 5 #112

Local news reported Abbott signed a Deminpenn Jul 5 #115

F6ck that POS hot wheels!!!! wolfie001 Jul 5 #117

Texas is getting what they voted for, aren't they? MissouriDem47 Jul 5 #118

Trump is a mass murder damifino10 Jul 5 #119

DOGE is already costing lives bmichaelh Jul 5 #120

NYT-As Floods Hit, Key Roles Were Vacant at Weather Service Offices in Texas (gift links) LetMyPeopleVote Jul 6 #124