Reply #59: facts [View All]

[jlfreund]

JNelson6563:
"Dean has a great chance at the nomination....
lousy chance of winning....
I am asking you as simply as I can to provide the facts you refer to in this quote."


I don't think anyone can claim to have facts that prove this assertion until after the election. But it's a pretty good theory based on the evidence.

- The most recent two elected presidential terms were won by a man from AK

- AK was red in 2000, Clark would make it Blue again; and as a native son, he would put up a good fight other in other southern states as well; Dean carries no sway in the south.

- Which red states does Dean claim he can turn? Dean's rhetoric reverberates very well with the base. Personally, I love Dean's rhetoric the best, but for everyone else, I hate to say it -- I really do -- but to them, it sounds shrill. Do NOT misunderestimate the moron-American vote! The swing voters go for style over substance. And Karl is so ready to replay the 2000 election. To mainstream America, Dean will go down as the shrill, uptight hater who will give the mainstream media headaches with all his negative talk about the "important issues", while frat boy king will coast through the re-election campaign untouched as the likeable charming guy who most reporters would love to sit down and have a beer with.

- Clark's military record will lay to rest any hope Karl has of hanging his hat on Bush's "relentless persecution of the war on terra".

- I'm not a great judge of masculine aesthetics, but I hear the chicks dig him. Ask yourself: at your highschool, how would the short neck man do in a popularity contest against dubbya? Geez, aren't I a mean, shallow, man? Don't kid yourself: charisma has been a great predictor in recent presidential elections.

Yes, I'm aware of Clark's fumbles, but more importantly, I think Clark has that "complete package" image, and his weaknesses are less of a liability than Dean's "hot headed" persona that will color every crayon scribbling review of Dean's campaign in mainstream media.

Jason