Reply #7: "his former leadership rival may still wobble into the top job" [View All]

[T_i_B]

Actually, Gordon Brown is almost certain to succeed Blair as PM. Why? Because Blair has promised to step down this year (everyone thinks it will be after the Scottish Parliament, Welsh Assembly and local government elections on May 3rd) and there is nobody in the Labour party who appears able to offer a credible alternative to Gordon Brown. The Labour left is running two candidates and the chances are that neither will get the 44 nominations from MP's required to get onto the final ballot paper. Some ultra-Blairites have been trying to get the environment secretary David Miliband to run but that is unlikely to happen if he has any sense.

So to cut a long story short, barring a major catastrophe for Gordon Brown it looks like he will have a coronation as Labour party leader and PM.