According to
Wikipedia, there has been no official census in Lebanon since 1932, a fact that reflects "political sensitivity in Lebanon over confessional (religious) balance." It is, therefore, barely possible to even guesstimate how popular the so-called "Cedar Revolution" is compared to Hizbollah, much less how a "free democratic election" would turn out.
I'm just trying to answer a simple question: what is the breakdown of the factions in Lebanon? Who wants Syria out--what percentage of the population? What percentage of the Muslim population is Shiite compared to Sunni? What do the Sunni want from Syria? Can anyone on DU answer any of these questions?