Who's fooling who? [View All]

[Drunken Irishman]

A few people here say Obama can't win because much of the party's base will abandon him over the way this primary has been run. This is often used to prop up the prospects of Clinton winning the nomination, as she would do the best against John McCain. Except there is a fatal flaw with this belief, as winning the nomination now means she will have done so with less delegates than Barack Obama. For all the arguments you can make, no nominee has ever lost the nomination when they've had more delegates than their opponent.

Now what we have here is a scenario where all hell will break loose, because Clinton's only hope for the nomination will be at the convention in August. If this thing goes that far, it will be a couple months of brutal fighting between the two and it'll end with her ripping the nomination away from Obama. You think Hillary supporters are pissed now, how do you think Obama supporters will feel if he loses the nomination in any type of scenario needed for Clinton to win? You think the party is divided now, well you ain't seen nothing yet. If Clinton were to win the nomination, even though Obama won the most delegates, it would be hell on earth.

So for all this talk about dividing the party, Clinton's only hope at the nomination would do just that, but even worse because there would be minimal time to repair the rift and most Obama supporters would feel as if the nomination had been stolen from him. So that argument doesn't wash anymore, because there is no plausible way I see Clinton getting the nomination without creating a far bigger divide in the party than we have right now.