UPDATE: (Gallup) Bush 54 Kerry 40 Nader 3 [View All]

[liberalpragmatist]

Note: Formerly titled "Gallup - Bush Ahead By 13 - is this true? (Rumor)"

That's the figure some other DU'er mentioned he had been told by a friend with connections. I can't remember who posted it.

Any word on this?

UPDATE: Okay... So I looked on DailyKos and in the diaries section, someone had posted a similar thread. Apparently Rich Lowry on National Review Online mentioned the results. So either it's true and people in high places on both sides have advance notice OR it's just a false internet rumor with no basis in fact.

Oh and also, don't shoot the messenger. I don't want this to turn into a David Durham or whoever-the-guy-is bashing-thread. I'm just curious if anybody else has heard anything or found anything.

UPDATE II: Okay. So official word. THank you to OilemFirchen of Reply #24. From http://www.wcfcourier.com/articles/2004/09/16/ap/headlines/d85521mg0.txt:

A new poll from the Pew Research Center said the "bounce" that seemed to propel Bush to a lead just after the Republican convention had disappeared. But he was ahead by double digits in another survey.

The Pew poll found the race at 46-46 among registered voters, and 47-46 Bush among likely voters. A Gallup poll being released Friday has Bush up 54-40 in a three-way matchup, with Ralph Nader at 3 percent.

So it actually appears that according to Gallup, it's a 14-point spread. God I hope it's not a USAToday/CNN/Gallup poll. Then we'll be treated to days and days of more whoring by CNN of how Bush is way ahead.

UPDATE III: Okay, so I googled "Gallup" AND "wild swings." Guess what I found? This article from the Wall Street Journal's Opinion Journal. I think I'll post this as a separate thread. Read away:

http://www.opinionjournal.com/diary/?id=65000474

Title: "Gallup's Credibility Gap
What's with those wild swings in the polls?"