Reply #5: This seems important: "Be careful when interpreting results:" [View All]

[Pirate Smile]

"Be careful when interpreting results:

Again, the 59-41 numbers you are seeing after 7 counties have reported are NOT the relevant numbers. The relevant numbers are the number of delegates each county sends to the state convention. Right now Obama has 62.8% of the delegates apportioned to the state convention - not 59%... this is an important distinction that most seem to be missing..."


http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/3/8/61411/81462/867/472032

IT'S OFFICIAL - OBAMA WINS WYOMING. Nets +2 delegates and will get the +1 add-on in May. (Note - they haven't announced because people are still voting).

OBAMA 7, Clinton 5.

(With 49 state delegates left, Obama can only hit 205 even if he won them all. Technically, Obama needs 5 of the remaining 49 state delegates to hit the required 160, but this is not in doubt.)

The remaining 5 counties don't start caucusing for another 40 minutes (Teton actually in 2 hrs 40 min). I will not be updating in real time since there is nothing uncertain left. (I'll come back tonight and finish it up). A huge thank you to everyone who commented, everyone who pointed out little bugs and helped me get back on track. I would like to do Mississippi but I may not be available. Just remember there are SIX races (two of them redundant) on Tuesday, not one.

CD 1 = 5 delegates
CD 2 = 7 delegates (very fertile 5-2 opportunity)
CD 3 = 5 delegates
CD 4 = 5 delegates
statewide PLEO = 4 delegates
statewide at-large = 7 delegates

Obama's spreadsheet (which predicted Wyoming 7-5) has Mississippi 20-13, +7.