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Reply #11: Over 50% [View All]

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democraticinsurgent Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-11-04 01:35 PM
Response to Reply #10
11. Over 50%
That includes both refusals and misses. In my three calling periods I averaged 2 or 3 refusals and a couple of misses.

The voter cooperation rate was probably about 70%, if you discount the "misses". That's when someone slips past you when you're not looking, or busy with someone else. I was supposed to interview every 7th person and if i missed them, or if they refused, i had to start my count over. That way the demographics and total voter count would jibe with the actual vote count. Or at least it was supposed to.

When someone wouldn't cooperate, it was usually that they were on the run to work or get kids. A few indicated suspicion or confusion about what I was doing and passed.

I do not have any info on how the data was used, unfortunately, I was just a minion. However, I've read elsewhere that the reweighting occurred late at night when ACTUAL VOTE tabulations were intermingled with exit polling. That seems to be why the "final exit polls" snapped into place with the vote totals. Seems weird to me and not very scientific.

For me, the third wave of exit polls, the ones that were out around 6pm, should be considered the final ones. Unless someone educates me to the contrary.

By the way, the company running the exit polling was very professional and efficient from my standpoint. They gave me plenty of info, training, attention, and calling in was a snap. I wouldn't have been surprised if I had trouble getting thru, but there was always someone on the line to take my data pronto.
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