Reply #157: nyet! redux: Pt. 1 & 2 [View All]

[Einsteinia]

Respectfully:

1. As to your explanation on the DailyKos as to the true function of exit polls:
This obvious obfuscation of the facts on what exit polls may be used for is dishonest. To say, exit polls are to answer all questions, except who'dja vote for is blatantly false. The truth is that is THE question on everyone's minds and why the polls are conducted. The other questions, the secondary questions, are to factor in "weighting" variables. It's true that exit polls are not 100% accurate, but most are accurate at LEAST within +/- 5%.

We've toppled many governments on the basis of exit polls and they are based on a statistical science that shows how people voted that directly translates into a superb index of the legitimacy of an election, e.g. the Ukraine (which was instigated by our CIA).

2. The RAW data of Edison/Mitofsky, though I believe you were one of the privileged few who actually saw it?, was NOT released sans the "reluctant responder" poppycock. Again, this explanation sounds much more like propaganda than science. And here's the essential clue, statistics are defined in advance about parameters inclusive of weighting BEFORE the event and set with a +/- margin of error. Anything factored in AFTER the event to "correct" findings is dubious at best.