carries any weight. However, for those who don't care what logically sound and empirically based conclusions show, I suppose the Big Lie lives on in their a priori minds.
Regarding the comparative approach used by the World Bank, this approach seems appropriate as the cited claim is that the U.S. is less business friendly
than other countries around the orb that we live on. This comparative analysis would seem to be a rather direct approach to testing the validity of such an assertion.
As mentioned in article referred to in OP, Jan Everly, PhD., addressed the 'regulations as jobs killers' Big Lie on the Dept. of Treasury blog. In this comment the comparative approach is not used but rather a direct analysis of regulations' impact on hiring and investment as shown by various business indicators is used. In addition, the straight-forward approach of polling businessmen for their opinions on what is impacting hiring and job creation is employed.
http://www.treasury.gov/connect/blog/Pages/Is-Regulatory-Uncertainty-a-Major-Impediment-to-Job-Growth.aspx All emphases are my own.__Bill USA.
Last week at a Senate hearing Secretary Geithner said, “I'm very sympathetic to the argument you want to be careful to get the rules better and smarter, but I don’t think there's good evidence in support of the proposition that it's regulatory burden or uncertainty that's causing the economy to grow more slowly than any of us would like.”
Economists from across the political spectrum have also weighed into this debate and reached the same conclusion. Bruce Bartlett, a senior advisor in both the Reagan and George H.W. Bush administrations, said that “no hard evidence” has been offered for claims that regulation is the “principal factor holding back employment.” And in a recent Wall Street Journal survey of economists, 65 percent of respondents concluded that a lack of demand, not government policy, was the main impediment to increased hiring.
Nonetheless, two commonly repeated misconceptions are that uncertainty created by proposed regulations is holding back business investment and hiring and that the overall burden of existing regulations is so high that firms have reduced their hiring.
If regulatory uncertainty was a major impediment to hiring right now, we would expect to see indications of this in one or more of the following: business profits; trends in the workforce, capacity utilization, and business investment; differences between industries undergoing significant regulatory changes and those that are not; differences between the United States and other countries that are not undergoing the same changes; or surveys of business owners and economists. As discussed in a detailed review of the evidence below, none of these data support the claim that regulatory uncertainty is holding back hiring.
Business Profits
If regulation was a significant drag on business today, we would expect to see profits constrained after recent regulatory reforms were passed into law. However, corporate profits as a share of gross domestic income have about recovered their pre-recession peak, and earnings per share in industries most affected by recent regulatory changes, such as energy and health care, have among the highest earnings per share of those in the S&P 500. This growth is inconsistent with a corporate sector held back by regulation.
The article then considers the other indicators of business activity, mentioned above, and shows that they do not show an indication that regulations, per se, or anticipated changes in regulations, depress hiring or job creation - or if they do affect job creation or hiring they are less important than
DEMAND for the products and services businesses seek to sell._Bill USA
What Business Owners and Economists are Saying
In recent surveys, business owners and economists do not list regulation as the main problem facing their business, nor do they blame regulation for job cuts:
•In the September survey of small business owners by the National Federation of Independent Businesses, more than twice as many respondents cited poor sales (29.6 percent) as their largest problem than cite regulation (13.9 percent).
•In an August survey of economists by the National Association for Business Economics, 80 percent of respondents described the current regulatory environment as “good” for American businesses and the overall economy.
• As noted above, in a recent Wall Street Journal survey of economists, 65 percent of respondents concluded that a lack demand, not government policy, was the main impediment to increased hiring.
•According to data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, less than three-tenths of 1 percent of mass lay-offs in the second quarter of this year were due to government regulations or intervention. <2>
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