In the grand tradition fitting only for fools and past losers, the Democratic Party has met its Waterloo. There will be few who will see this today. And they will be only those who are not blinded by Obama's outsized ego. Theirs will be a venue of self-congratulations for winning as Obama has at every stage. By forcing voters to accept only him.
From his race to be Harvard Law Review's only president who never published, through his ripping aside a former female state senator, to his opposition-less US Senate run, Obama has passed every contest by forcing people to vote his way. That each method was "within the rules" is more a statement of what and how those "rules" were manipulated than a fair fight.
Of course, the rules are what have brought us here. And they are unbelievably bad. A product of "fairness" by seeing to it that totally inconsequential states can hold sway in the Democratic Party nominating process. A fantasy of immense proportions that a political neophyte with no background whatsoever is qualified to be president because he claims he made one speech.
Utter poppycock.
Democrats took a guy who screamed his way out of a nomination and let him take over an entire party. Dr. Dean then allowed Pelosi and Chicago Democrats to seize control of the process, enabling people like freshmen senators from everywhere to make their presence known by brashly denigrating another senator while enabling longtime senators like Kerry,. Kennedy and Leahy to bring us their form of New England politics, a politics that generally igores the good of their states for some higher level promise that somehow is never fulfilled.
Despite every opportunity, every press site, every major statement, and overwhelming odds and money, Obama will not be able to force the entire US electorate to vote for him in November. For we cannot ignore maturity and experience while taking a risk at rolling the dice. And we will not when Obama's self-declared "new coalition" fails to manage to accomplish anything, with Dr. Dean the screamer, Leahy, and Pelosi all claiming it is all Hillary Clinton's fault.
We know the truth.
As Sean Wilentz so brilliantly points out, the system concocted by the Democrats has resulted in what is obvious to anyone willing to listen.
Unlike the Republicans, the Democrats in primary states choose their nominee on the basis of a convoluted system of proportional distribution of delegates that varies from state to state and that obtains in neither congressional nor presidential elections. It is this eccentric system that has given Obama his lead in the delegate count. If the Democrats heeded the "winner takes all" democracy that prevails in American politics, and that determines the president, Clinton would be comfortably in front. In a popular-vote winner-take-all system, Clinton would now have 1,743 pledged delegates to Obama's 1,257. If she splits the 10 remaining contests with Obama, as seems plausible, with Clinton taking Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Kentucky, Indiana and Puerto Rico, and Obama winning North Carolina, South Dakota, Montana, Oregon and Guam, she'd pick up another 364 pledged delegates. She'd have 2,107 before a single superdelegate was wooed. You need 2,024 to be the Democratic nominee. Game over. No more blogospheric ranting about Clinton "stealing" the nomination by kidnapping superdelegates or cutting deals at a brokered convention. But Clinton does not now have 1,743 delegates. According to CNN estimates, Clinton has about 1,242 pledged delegates to Obama's 1,413. Most of that total is based on the peculiar way that delegates are apportioned in 2008. Some of it is because Obama's backers are using the same kind of tactics as George Bush's camp used in Florida in 2000.
The answer to all this mess will be a massive reengineering of the Democratic Party if and as soon as Obama loses control. This is likely to happen no later than early November when, if he manages to get the nomination, he loses most of the country.
What will the overhaul be?
First, there will be few or no caucuses. If the voters have their way, caucuses will be banished forever. They are too easily manipulated and intimidated, and do not provide a fair assessment of what the electorate wants.
Second, most if not all states will become winner take all. As it should be.
Third, there will be no more getting more delegates because of going after votes in western Nevada by telling Republicans to vote for Obama now, since you do not need to vote for him in November. The size of the fraud we will see coming out of the Obama mechanisms will be enough to eradicate the postulates here. Could anyone stomach the "right" to get more delegates even when the candidate did not win the popular vote? Only Obama, his press, and surrogates can and have had the audacity to tout such manipulation as wins. Imagine that audacity and self-congratulations for a moment. Then look at who Obama is, in the light of day.
Fourth, Florida and Michigan will never happen again. To see Obama trying his best to deny these voters their already selected choice based on an argument that his millions can change the landscape in those states is so self-aggrandizing to Obama and so denigrating to the voters that the Democratic Party cannot countenance such an argument ever again.
Fifth, the Democratic Party will return to its "Scoop" Jackson roots. There will be none of the far left ownership that currently has trapped the Democratic Party. No self-proclaimed allegiance to all, including the radical left who have so besmirched and belittled the only woman ever to have a chance at the White House.
Sixth, the Democratic Party will give up its reins to a group other than those wild-eyed Obama fans whose allegiance is some fly-by-night group that has neither wings or legs. The more mature, regular Democrats will get back in power and make this a Democratic Party for all. Not for those with a certain view of the world that includes a clear message of anti-white hate.
Obama needs excuses for so much of his life. So many parts out of the mainstream. The Democratic Party will either get back to the mainstream or die. Those are its choices.
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