Obama Landslide: A Preliminary 2008 True Vote Projection (TIA)

[tiptoe]

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=132&topic_id=6095939&mesg_id=6095939 -x

[FARAFIELD]

1. He will drop McCain like a Bad Habit.

[wtmusic]

2. TIA also predicted a 99.999999% chance of Kerry winning.

Thanks for inducing complacency, and making everyone else's job harder. :eyes:

[tiptoe]

3. So did Prof Sam Wang of Princeton. Were their calculations wrong?

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=printer_friendly&forum=203&topic_id=403521&mesg_id=403996

[wtmusic]

4. Um, yes. Kerry lost.

At the very least the simplistic calculations of TIA and others failed to take into account the probability of fraud.

These types of predictions accomplish exactly two things:

1) Make us feel good about being lazy.
2) Guarantee an improved chance at the Republican candidate being elected.

Is there anything more destructive to the cause we support?