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Liberals narrow gap to 6 points in campaigns first "shift"!

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Very_Boring_Name Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Mar-31-11 06:56 AM
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Liberals narrow gap to 6 points in campaigns first "shift"!
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/ottawa-notebook/liberals-narrow-gap-to-6-points-in-campaigns-first-possible-shift/article1964548/

What a difference a day makes. The Conservative lead over the Liberals literally shrunk overnight from 10 points to just over six, according to a Nanos Research poll of voting intentions for the Globe and Mail and CTV.

According to a rolling three-day survey than includes calls up until 9 p.m. Wednesday,
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Posteritatis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-02-11 03:22 PM
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1. "Literally shrunk?" God, some journalists need to be slapped. (nt)
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Bernardo de La Paz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-02-11 03:56 PM
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2. Right. --> "shrunk literally overnight"
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iverglas Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-02-11 08:46 PM
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3. actually ...
the simple past of "shrink" is "shrank".

Sink, sank, sunk.
Drink, drank, drunk.
Shrink, shrank, shrunk.

"Literally shrunk overnight" -- Two fishhooks in one's eyes in three words, it seems. ;)
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TheCanadianLiberal Donating Member (245 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-03-11 04:30 PM
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4. How long will it hold out?
One wrong move or thing said and they could lose what they've gained. I know the liberals may be the best chance at removing harper, but I simply can not vote for the local liberal guy and will instead be voting for the Greens
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daleo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-03-11 04:45 PM
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5. I can't get too excited about polls either way
I think the polling model is broken. In the past couple years at the university I work at, the response rates for student surveys has plummeted from the 40-50% range to the 20-30% range, sometimes even lower. I suspect pollsters are having a much worse time than this. There is just too much room for response bias for the assumptions of scientific polling to hold.
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