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1968-2008: Recorded margin vs. Returning Voter Mix Anomalies (TIA)

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WillE Donating Member (150 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Oct-17-09 01:37 PM
Original message
1968-2008: Recorded margin vs. Returning Voter Mix Anomalies (TIA)
Edited on Sat Oct-17-09 02:34 PM by WillE
1968-2008: Recorded margin vs. Returning Voter Mix Anomalies

TruthIsAll

1968-2008 Final National Exit Poll 

Compare the returning voter mix required to match the recorded
vote margin.

Note the elections in which the GOP was in power (Nixon 1972,
Bush 1988 and 1992, Bush Jr. 2004 and 2008). In each of these
elections, there was a wide divergence between the returning
voter mix and the recorded vote margin. The deviations ranged
from 6.5% to a whopping 17.3% in 1992. That is a strong
indication of election fraud.

On the other hand, when the Democrats were in power (Carter in
1980, Clinton in 1996 and 2000), the margin-mix deviation
ranged from 0.5% to 1.4%. Gore would have won in 2000, but
SCOTUS stopped the Florida recount and 185,000 spoiled ballots
(70% for Gore) were uncounted in Florida and 5.4 million were
uncounted nationwide.


	1968	1972	1976	1980	1984	1988	1992	1996	2000	2004	2008	Average
Recorded											

Dem	42.9%	36.2%	50.1%	41.0%	40.6%	45.6%	43.0%	49.2%	48.4%	48.3%	52.9%	45.5%
Rep	43.6%	60.7%	48.0%	50.7%	58.8%	53.4%	37.4%	40.7%	47.9%	50.7%	45.6%	49.4%
PrevMargin	-0.7%	-24.5%	2.1%	-9.7%	-18.2%	-7.8%	5.6%	8.5%	0.5%	-2.4%	-4.7%
												
Returning voter Mix												
Dem	55.0%	35.0%	30.0%	42.0%	34.0%	33.0%	28.0%	38.0%	41.0%	37.0%	37.0%	35.5%
Rep	35.0%	44.0%	53.0%	41.0%	44.0%	58.0%	53.0%	31.0%	33.0%	43.0%	46.0%	44.6%
Diff	na	-9.0%	-23.0%	1.0%	-10.0%	-25.0%	-25.0%	7.0%	8.0%	-6.0%	-9.0%	-9.1%
												
Margin/mix											
Discrepancy
Diff	na	8.3%	-1.5%	1.1%	0.3%	6.8%	17.2%	-1.4%	0.5%	6.5%	6.6%	4.4%
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MissWaverly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-18-09 09:44 AM
Response to Original message
1. Thanks for keeping on this
Edited on Sun Oct-18-09 09:50 AM by MissWaverly
Results of presidential elections in Maryland 1960 thru 2004

For anyone who missed the Nixon years and their campaign practices, I recommend All the President's Men.
Even Ronald Reagan, the patron saint of Republicans everywhere, did not carry Maryland.
1960
JFK 565,808
Nixon 489,538
1964
LBJ 730,912
Goldwater 385,495
1968
Humphrey 538,310
Nixon 517,995
1972
McGovern 505,781
Nixon 829,305
1976
Carter 759,612
Ford 672,661
1980
Carter 726,161
Reagan 680,606
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MissWaverly Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-18-09 09:56 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. second half of Maryland election results
1988
Dukakis 826,304
Bush,Sr 876,167
1992
Clinton 988,571
Bush,Sr 707,904
1996
Clinton 966,207
Dole 681,530
2000
Gore 1,140,782
Bush 813,797
2004
Kerry 1,334,493
Bush 1,024,703
2008
Obama 1,629,467
McCain 959,862
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