Apprentice: Trump calls Diddy "a friend" and a "good guy"

The reason I feel good about this election

And please don't GOTV me. I already know that as well as everyone else on this site.

I want to describe our strength in the 7 swing states.

We have the advantage in the three top statewide offices (2 Senators and Governor) in 6 of the 7 swing states. The Democrats hold all 3 in 3 states: Pennsylvania, Michigan and Arizona. We hold 2 of 3 in Nevada, Georgia and Wisconsin. The Republicans hold 2 of 3 in just North Carolina.

In addition, the Democrat holds a comfortable polling lead in every state that has a statewide contest this year. North Carolina (Gov.), Michigan (Sen.), Wisconsin (Sen.)., Pennsylvania (Sen.), Arizona (Sen.), Neveda (Sen.).

Trump confuses Afghan airbase with Alaska wilflife refuge

Former President Donald Trump mixed up the name of an Alaskan wildlife refuge and an air base in Afghanistan during a town hall in Flint, Michigan on Tuesday.

Boasting to the audience about how he got oil drilling approved in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge, commonly referred to ANWR, Trump said

“Looking forward to the dozen NYT stories about Trump’s age and mental acuity. Oh wait. That’s just reserved for Democrats,” reacted former Hillary Clinton senior adviser Zac Petkanas.

“Bagram was the airbase he had in Afghanistan- the same base where we kept hundreds of Taliban and ISIS prisoners that Trump released back out into Afghanistan in his final year in office,” tweeted Democratic polit Amy McGrath. “He is CLUELESS folks.”


https://www.mediaite.com/politics/trump-mistakes-wildlife-refuge-for-airbase-in-afghanistan-we-have-bagram-in-alaska/

Interpreting Polls from Red Areas

I follow the polls very closely. Recently, some interesting polls have reported. Kamala Harris has reduced Trump margins in red states and districts. Coming within the margin of error

Alaska is mostly a white, rural state. So is Iowa and the first district in Maine. These are not your typical Democratic bastions. Add to that that New Hampshire, another white mostly rural state, has gone from purple to reliable (albeit not guaranteed) blue.

This is West, Mid-West and East. No, I'm not saying she'll win any of these states, except New Hampshire, but they are approaching "in play" status. If Harris is making inroads into this type of demographic it may show up in areas in other states, especially the swing states.

I thought I'd post my thoughts on this as it may be an unexpected encouraging sign.

Big Village National Poll: Kamala by 7 points

I know, I know, who is big village? But it is listed on 538. Kamala has a 7-point edge among likely voters (50.5% to 43.4%).

https://survey.mrxsurveys.com/orc/pollingresults/Big-Village-Political-Poll-09.15.24.pdf

How much responsibility is on Trump?

Trump is a former President and the Republican nominee in 2024. He deserves Secret Service protection. But, when they tell him that outdoor rallies result in increased risk to him and them, Trump should try to abide by their recommendations. There is no reason Trump can't have the same rallies indoors. The same goes for "spur of the moment" plans. "It looks like a good day for golf. Let's go". Trump should consider the risk. If there is going to be a golf outing, especially at one of his own properties, give 24 hours' notice and shut the place down to all other outside guests. Give the Secret Service enough time to secure the perimeter.

It seems to me that Trump takes far too many unnecessary risks and then blames everyone else when something happens. Let's face it, all 4 candidates and President Biden are all at risk from some crazed lunatic. But it seems as though everyone else but Trump, reduces those risks.

Both close call incidents happened because Trump wants outdoor rallies in difficult to secure venues or makes impulsive decisions as he did Sunday. He should be required to choose easier to secure indoor venues or airport tarmacs, and golf with proper notice. The problem is, Trump wants to do what he wants, when he wants.

No one should be subject to danger for seeking public office. But those people who require protection need to let the professionals make the hard decisions to reduce those risks, especially during the few months leading up to the election.

This sucks

Just when we dominated the narrative and established political momentum, some asshole with a gun changes it.

Trump and Trumpism cannot be defeated through violence. The attempts on Trump's life are not only morally wrong but undemocratic and politically counterproductive. We need to beat Trump and his allies through an overwhelming Democratic victory at the ballot box.

Des Moines Register Poll: Trump leads in Iowa by just 4 points

A new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows that Trump leads Vice President Harris 47% to 43% among likely Iowa voters — a far slimmer margin than the 18-point lead the former Republican president enjoyed over Democratic President Biden in late spring.

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2024/09/15/iowa-poll-donald-trump-iowa-lead-shrinks-as-kamala-harris-replaces-joe-biden/75180245007/

CNN reporting an ABC News Poll: Harris up by 6 Points

I think it's with likely voters. However, I can't find an online link. The report says that the 6-point Harris lead is 52% to 46%. The post-debate poll has the same spread as their pre-debate poll.

Some think that's bad news, I think it's good news. If Kamala can shore up a 6-point national popular vote win, I'll take my chances in the swing states.

Please don't reply that we have to work and get out the vote. There's no one on this site that doesn't know that. Almost all of us lived through 2016. No poll will make us less enthusiastic or have any degree of complacency.

On edit, here's the link. One comment. How the fuck can anyone interpret a 6-point lead as "slight"?

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/harris-debate-winner-maintaining-slight-lead-trump-poll/story?id=113673862

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