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Celerity

Celerity's Journal
Celerity's Journal
April 10, 2022

The Democrats' Nevada Problem

Combining the Democrats’ Hispanic Voter and Working Class Voter Problems

https://theliberalpatriot.substack.com/p/the-democrats-nevada-problem?s=r

What do you get when you combine the Democrats’ Hispanic voter problem with the Democrats’ working class voter problem? Something like the Democrats’ Nevada problem. On one level, it might seem odd that there should be a Democratic Nevada problem. Nevada is the most rapidly-diversifying state in the country—it recently became majority-minority—and should continue to be so in the future. All else equal, that should favor the Democrats and it is true that Democrats have carried the state in the last four Presidential election and currently hold the governorship and both US Senate seats.

But hidden in these facts are some troubling signs. Despite rapid diversification, the Democratic margin in Presidential elections from 2008 to 2016 declined sharply from 12.5 to 2.4 points. And in 2020, as the Democrats gained ground in the country as a whole, the Democratic margin in Nevada went from 2.4 points…..to 2.4 points. That means that—again, despite rapid diversification of the electorate—Nevada went from three-tenths of percentage more Democratic than the nation as a whole in 2016 to 2 points more Republican in 2020.

Hmm. Now how did that happen? Start with Nevada’s Hispanic voters, 16 percent of 2020’s voting electorate. According to unpublished States of Change data, the Democratic margin among Hispanics contracted by 8 points between 2016 and 2020 (Catalist data show an even larger 17 point decline). This drop was driven almost entirely by working class Hispanics (81 percent of Nevada’s Hispanic voters). These shifts meant that Hispanics’ contribution to the Democratic margin in Nevada in 2020 actually went down by 2 points.

There was a similar story with black voters, 9 percent of the Nevada electorate, whose Democratic margin dropped by 13 points, again driven almost entirely by working class blacks (77 percent of black voters). On the other side of the ledger, Democrats did better among white college-educated voters and among Asian/other race voters, particularly the college-educated. The net result was the 2020 stasis in Democratic support, despite underlying trends that should have produced a bluer Nevada.

snip


Latest poll (3/21-24, and it is from a Democratic pollster) has Cortez Masto down 7 points to Laxalt



https://blueprintpolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/BPP-NV-Survey-2.pdf

April 10, 2022

Why You Need to Drink Wine in Paso Robles Before the Region Really Blows Up

These 14 wineries are just a starting point.

https://www.thrillist.com/drink/nation/best-paso-robles-wineries



Think the only place to find world-class California wines that compete with other global wine regions like the Rhone Valley in France or Piedmont in Italy is Napa Valley? Think again. Taking a gorgeous drive down the coast from the famous wine region north of San Francisco, passing Monterey and Big Sur, you’ll enter into a once-sleepy Central Coast almond farming community known for its thermal hot springs that is gaining global acclaim: Paso Robles.

Paso Robles—pronounced row-bulls and referred to more casually and simply as Paso among locals—had a reputation for producing high-alcohol red wines, particularly cabernet sauvignon and zinfandel. But over the last decade, a collective of wineries has quietly moved away from those overly tannic or fruit bomb wines to create gorgeous, layered, nuanced wines that have caused people rethink to Paso.

In a region with more than 200 tasting rooms and 11 diverse viticultural areas enjoying the maritime effects of the Pacific Ocean, producers experiment with dozens of grape varietals. You can taste more than 60 single varietals and blends including syrah, grenache, mourvedre, roussanne, petite syrah, viognier, grenache blanc, sauvignon blanc, clairette blanche, and yes, zinfandel and cabernet.

“We’re an enormous grape growing region and Paso is a little harder to define,” said Anthony Yount, winemaker at Denner Vineyards and Sixmilebridge as well as his own labels Kinero Cellars and The Royal Nonesuch. “Napa is cab. Sonoma is pinot and chardonnay. Paso does a bit of everything.”



snip






















April 9, 2022

Sprinting towards Gilead







April 9, 2022

Harry Maguire calling for handball against his own team has got to be the worst defending play of

all time. What the actual heck is he doing??

Plus he deflected in the only goal of the game, in Man U's 1 nil loss, lolol.

Slabhead doing Slabhead things.



https://twitter.com/Vixputs1/status/1512763624493826053

https://twitter.com/FootballAddick/status/1512786161172942849
April 9, 2022

Florida teen killed after boys take turns shooting at each other while wearing body armor

https://www.boston25news.com/news/trending/police-florida-teen-killed-after-boys-take-turns-shooting-each-other-while-wearing-body-armor/27O6DX43U5BMNCLD63ZPGMBS6I/


Two arrested, Joshua Vining and Colton Whitler, in the shooting death of juvenile Christopher Broad Jr., 16. (Belleview Police Department)

BELLEVIEW, Fla. — A teenager is dead and two teenagers have been arrested after police in Florida said the boys took turns shooting at each other while wearing body armor.

Police responded to a call of a shooting Sunday and found Christopher Leroy Broad Jr., 16, shot inside of a home. He was transported to a hospital, where he died from his injuries.

A police investigation found that Joshua Vining, 17, and Broad were taking turns shooting at each other while wearing a vest that contained a form of body armor. Broad Jr., 16, died after he was hit by a bullet fired by Vining, WFTV reported.

On Thursday, police arrested Vining and Colton Whitler, also 17. Vining was charged with aggravated manslaughter of a child with a firearm and Whitler was charged with providing false information to law enforcement, according to the Belleview Police Department.

https://www.facebook.com/bpdflorida/posts/288403113466094



videos

https://news.yahoo.com/police-1-killed-florida-teens-235000949.html

https://www.wftv.com/news/local/marion-county/police-teen-killed-after-boys-take-turns-shooting-each-other-wearing-body-armor/QQ42A4HGOJD37L3GG7REPSALGU/
April 9, 2022

Two women who were last seen at a wedding in California found dead

https://www.foxla.com/news/two-women-who-were-last-seen-at-a-wedding-in-california-found-dead

RIPON, Calif. - Two women who were reported missing over the weekend were found dead Tuesday inside a car submerged in the Stanislaus River.

The two women, Alyssa Ros, 23, of Long Beach and Xylona Gama, 22, of Stockton, were last seen at a wedding Sunday night at Spring Creek Country Club.





RIP

April 8, 2022

The right-wing 'seems happy to immiserate the nation' to 'preserve' white privilege

https://www.rawstory.com/the-right-wing-seems-happy-to-immiserate-the-nation-to-preserve-white-privilege/



The longer the covid is with us, the more it seems John Calvin had a point. The 16th-century theologian and autocrat had a dismal view of human nature, writing in his Institutes of the Christian Religion that "perversity in us never ceases, but constantly produces new fruits." These days, it's not the most stylish perspective. But Lord, is it ever on the money.

I am reminded of this after reading a sociological study that found that exposing white Americans to information about racial disparities in health care lessened their empathy for those who suffered from the covid. It also lowered their fear of the disease and reduced their support for safety precautions against it.

Simply put, the more white people believed the covid was a problem for Black people and people of color, the less they cared about it. That held true across the board for participants. Being a political conservative increased the effects, but even white liberals showed the same basic trend. The conclusions are as terse as they are grim:

Publicizing racial health disparities has the potential to create a vicious cycle wherein raising awareness reduces support for the very policies that could protect public health and reduce disparities.

The more you know, the less you care.

snip
April 8, 2022

Airmen upset that an entire C-17 crew except the maintainer received the Distinguished Flying Cross

"He was practically Chewbacca in ‘A New Hope.'"

https://taskandpurpose.com/news/air-force-c-17-distinguished-flying-cross-afghanistan/



The Air Force recently honored four of its airmen for their performance during last year’s evacuation of Kabul, Afghanistan by awarding the Distinguished Flying Cross. But many airmen are fuming after noticing that one of the crew did not receive the prestigious award, despite playing a key part in the mission. That airman was the flying crew chief, Staff Sgt. Dennis Gonzales-Furman, of the 437th Aircraft Maintenance Squadron.



Gonzales-Furman and his fellow airmen were flying members of the Army’s 82nd Airborne Division to Kabul aboard a C-17 cargo jet on Aug. 15 when thousands of civilians breached the airfield at Kabul’s Hamid Karzai International Airport. The civilians were fleeing the Taliban, who had just seized control of the capital city. “The conditions that day were like none I had ever seen,” said the aircraft commander, Lt. Col. Dominic Calderon, of the 301st Airlift Squadron according to an Air Force press release. “The airfield was breached and there were mass crowds entering.”

Despite the pressure and chaos, Calderon, his fellow 301st squadron members 1st Lt. Kyle Anderson and Master Sgt. Silva Foster, Senior Airman Michael Geller of the 517th Airlift Squadron and Gonzales-Furman worked fast and managed to rescue 153 U.S. citizens, allied partners and Afghans. “The crew performed well under enormous pressure,” Calderon said. “I couldn’t be more proud of the way the entire crew operated.”


Lt. Col. Dominic S. Calderon, 301st Airlift Squadron chief of training; 1st Lt. Kyle Anderson, 301st AS assistant operations officer; Master Sgt. Silva Foster, 301st AS loadmaster; Senior Airman Michael Geller, 517th Airlift Squadron loadmaster; and Staff Sgt. Dennis Gonzales-Furman, 437th Aircraft Maintenance Squadron flying crew chief, stand during a ceremony honoring four of them as recipients of the Distinguished Flying Cross at Travis Air Force Base, Calif., Apr. 1, 2022. (Staff Sgt. Ryan Green/U.S. Air Force)


Calderon, Anderson, Foster and Geller were awarded the Distinguished Flying Cross, which is for service members who distinguish themselves in combat through heroism or extraordinary achievement in aviation. Though Gonzales-Furman did not receive the same medal, Calderon recognized his contribution to the mission. The crew chief “went so far above and beyond that evening,” the aircraft commander said at the award ceremony, according to The Vacaville Reporter. “If I had a game ball that night, I would have given it to him.”

snip

April 8, 2022

Various Artists - Clicks + Cuts (Full Album 2000) Minimal Techno//Micro House//Glitch



Label: Mille Plateaux – mp79, Mille Plateaux – _mp 79_, Mille Plateaux – mp 79
Series: Clicks & Cuts
Format:
2 x CD, Compilation
Country: Germany
Released: Jan 2000
Genre: Electronic
Style: Abstract, IDM, Experimental

A truly visionary release, Clicks & Cuts rounds up an ensemble of Europe's most forward-looking minimal techno producers in an effort to both investigate and define the glitch aesthetic that was in its formative stage at the time of this compilation's release in 2000. Conceived by Mille Plateaux, this double-disc compilation ambitiously looks beyond the label's own stable of artists, licensing tracks by non-Mille Plateaux producers as well: Wolfgang Voight (as All), Thomas Brinkmann (as Ester Brinkmann), Pansonic, and Pole. Given these characteristics, along with its glossy packaging and conceptual liner notes, the album impresses you even before the music begins. The inaugural listen proves to be an insightful experience full of surprises: Frank Bretschneider begins the album with stark ambience held together by a intricate yet remarkably fragile rhythm; Farben injects sheets of crackling static into his thumping track; Vladislav Delay crafts a lumbering, rambling dub-techno excursion; Pansonic toys with the reverberating silence; Dettinger presents a dizzying aural whirlwind; Kit Clayton pulls at sounds, stretching them beyond recognition; and so on. Obviously, with so many experimental artists and this much conceptual ambition, the results will be varied, and Clicks & Cuts indeed seems like a mixed bag at times. Regardless, this collection's breadth and the underlying concept make it so monumental. More than any other such collection, Clicks & Cuts is clearly the official genesis of the early-2000s glitch movement, the touchstone upon which later volumes and successive generations would build.





















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Gender: Female
Hometown: London
Home country: US/UK/Sweden
Current location: Stockholm, Sweden
Member since: Sun Jul 1, 2018, 07:25 PM
Number of posts: 43,589

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