Reply #14: Yes, already Republicans have stated that in Ohio [View All]

[Nicholas_J]

They intend to question the validity of the registrationsof every voter who comes in to vote, because of the massive numbers of new voters who democrats have registered this campaign season. They have already tried to disqualify people who filled out forms based on the thickness of paper these forms were printed on.

The fact are that the only way Republicans can ever win is to either get Democrats to not vote through either direct intimidation which has not worked this time, or simply by disqualifying qualified voters. The fact are that in many early voting precincts, the numbers of voters are reaching all time highs and some calculations are indicating that the percentage of voters in this election may be as much as 78 percent higher than in 2002, This not only bodes well for Kerry, but may cause some unantipated upsets in Congressional races this year, as a large turnout favors all Democratic candidates. Democrats could end up taking back the Senate if newly registered democrats come out voting in great numbers, Expect REpublicans to try to disenfranchise as many newly registered voters as possible.

Democrats have another thing going for them. That is time. This years polls are likely to be very inaccurate for a number of reasons. Oversampling of Republicans, non inclision of newly registered people in polling results, has resulted in very largely skewed averages of polls, and this results in very skewed predictions as to electoral votes. If you exclude the polls exagerating Republican voters the electoral college largely goes to Kerry. If Kerry does in fact win the electoral college as is suggested when only looking at balanced polls, and their is a recount necessary, we must remember that the same time constraints for the final counts will apply as did in 2000. If all the states in which votes are contested goes on for as long as it did in Florida, the Republicans contesting democratic votes in a number of current swing states will run into the same deadlines as the Democratic contest of the Florida vote will be reached. With the likelihood of contest in multiple states occuring in this election, time is on the democratic side. Time to contest, and then appeal and so on, As long as the number of states where decisions are up in the air by the first week of December occurs, a Kerry electoral win will mean that Kerry will win the election regardless of contesting the vote, as the Supreme Court set a precedent in 2000 that fixes the date for all arguments and contests to be finished,

I have been stating that Kerry was running an electoral vote strategy for his campaign from the very get go this season. The electoral vote situation looks far closer and favorable to Kerry than the popular vote strategy could bring him.