Reply #8: I think the NC poll is flawed because it was taken over the weekend but [View All]

[yellowcanine]

the truth is Kerry doesn't need to win NC - just be competetive enough to keep * there and spending ad money there. It is a rope a dope strategy. Money spent in NC isn't available to spend in Ohio, Florida, and Pennsylvania. If Kerry wins those three and I think he probably will it is hard to see how he can be denied a victory. Bush would have to hold unto all the rest of the red states and pick up Michigan and Wisconsin and at least one more blue state. Problem for Bush is that the same things that win Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Florida probably win Michigan and Wisconsin. Actually I think Michigan is probably not winnable for Bush unless all of our calculations are off and some big external event such as a terrorist attack gives Bush a big boost. The possibility of such a public reaction to an attack is diminished by the Bush bumbling about the delaying of elections, however. Some guy in Homeland Security raises the issue - little Scotty fails to shoot it down and Condi trys to shoot it down but we all know how credible she is. Clearly they have talked about this behind closed doors and just having raised the issue will be enough to tip some swing voters away from Bush and plant a lot of doubt in the minds of lots of voters. It is one in a series of royal Cheney-ups that is grinding down the Bush campaign. Heh. Heh. HA!