Reply #51: I don't disagree. [View All]

[Lasher]

But I'm OK with Electoral Vote.com as long as I know what I'm looking at. Like you say it's the latest polls. But I have found that they are excellent at keeping their maps up to date.

Now RCP is excellent with their averaging because it increases the sample size, which reduces the margin for error. And they exclude surveys that are questionable, in their view.

However, the RCP average for WV (McCain +2.2) might not be the best indicator right now because there have not been many WV polls. Because of this, the second most recent poll is over two weeks older than the newest one. And the oldest one comes from a month ago. McCain led by 2.9% in the national RCP average on 09/08, which is the date of this oldest included WV poll.

I'm not saying you're wrong but wanted to throw this angle into the discussion. This one poll might indicate Obama is indeed up by 8% in the Mountain State, and then again it might not. But for now, I'll take it.

And the Mountaineers won today. Yay!