Reply #11: A Few Things... [View All]

[DemocratSinceBirth]

It's hard to know in advance the percentage of Reps, Dems, and Indys who will show up at the polls...

There's always a discrepancy between likely and registered voters...

As education and income increase your likelihood to vote increase...Since Republicans tend to be more educated and more affluent they are more likely to vote than their Democratic counterparts.

Polling is part art and part science. A lot of assumptions are built into it. To get it right you have to make the right assumptions..

That's pretty straight forward political and social science.