Is there anything or anyone who will stop Trump invading Greenland and starting a war with Europe?

It may be a cold war, economic war, or worse, but Trump has made it clear, he will take Greenland, and he is surrounded by yes-men, psychopaths, or those on the side of Putin who are not going to stop him.

I made a mistake at looking at AOL and Yahoo news forums about today's murder by an ICE agent.

Most of the posts I read on AOL blame her or defend ICE. I wanted to believe that many of these posts are trolls or bots from foreign entities who want to divide America. When I looked at Yahoo that was more on our side, but I also saw posts that were identical to some I had read of AOL. Still, either way, whether these are real MAGA posts or bots working to destroy America, it is very depressing.

Will we later look back and realize the start of 2026 was the start of a new era of American dictatorship?

I mean, we are suddenly in uncharted waters. These threats by Trump and his mob against other nations are something we have never seen before. The world is in fear, bracing itself, wondering what the hell will that crazy guy do next.

Unlikely, I know, but what would happen if Maduro was found to be "not guilty?"

Chances of US choosing to kidnap president of a nation in which a politician just won Nobel Prize: 1 in 36,000

Calculations do not take into account a psychopathic American president who is pissed that he didn't win the Nobel Peace Prize.

Calculations by ChatGPT

A “U.S. president-kidnapping intervention” happens somewhere in the world within a 4-month window (event A) and the target country is the one that, in that same 4-month window, has a politician who just won the Nobel Peace Prize (event B).

A clean way to express that is:

P(A∩B)=P(A)×P(B∣A)

Where:

P(A) = chance the U.S. kidnaps/seizes a sitting president in a randomly selected 4-month window.

P(B∣A) = chance that, given such an event happens somewhere, it happens to the Nobel-country (the single “Nobel-country” created by that year’s Nobel announcement).

1) Estimating
P(A): how often does the U.S. “seize a president” in a 4-month window?

Using a straightforward historical base-rate approach:

Nobel Peace Prize begins in 1901.

From 1901 to early 2026 is ~125 years ≈ 375 four-month windows.

How many U.S. actions clearly match “military intervention resulting in capture/seizure of the top leader”?

Panama / Noriega: Noriega surrendered and was taken into U.S. custody on Jan 3, 1990 (after the 1989 invasion).

That gives 2 events over ~375 four-month windows:

=0.00533≈0.533%

So, about 0.5% per 4-month window (roughly 1 in 188 windows), using this strict definition.

(If you include disputed/ambiguous cases, the estimate rises, but then you’re changing the definition.)

2) Estimating
P(B∣A): if such an event happens, what’s the chance it hits “the Nobel-country”?

With 193 UN member states, the probability the target matches the one Nobel-country is:

= 0.518%

3) Joint probability
P(A∩B)

Multiply the two:

0.00533
×
0.00518

0.0000276
P(A∩B)≈0.00533×0.00518≈0.0000276

As a percent:
0.0000276
=
0.00276
%
0.0000276=0.00276%

As “1 in X”:

0.0000276
≈
36,200
1/0.0000276≈36,200

Result (under the explicit base-rate + uniform-target model)

≈ 0.0028% per 4-month window (about 1 in 36,000).

Do you think we have a right to know how many people Trump has killed?

The Maduro Files are sitting on Pam Bondi's desk. Trump will not try to block them. They will not be redacted.

They will contain Maduro's name many times. They will show criminal behavior. Trump will not try to divert attention away from them. Pam Bondi will not be part of a cover-up. Trump will insist on the highest penalties for those who are in the files. Yes, the Maduro Files!

What are your predictions about the invasion of Venezuela?

Trump isn't smart enough to succeed as a dictator. Here's where he fails.

Where Trump fails as a dictator

Failed to control flow of information
He thought he could control legacy media, branding it fake news, threatening law suits, and threatening to withdraw licenses. Even with social media on his side, installing his own 'statisticians' and a DOJ that acts as his defender and PR, polls show he has failed, and on every issue he is upside down. More and more people do not believe his BS.

Failed to eliminate political opposition
He has failed here too. He thought he could gaslight the whole nation, but his constant attempts to denigrate, misrepresent and silence the left has failed. Support for MAGA is shrinking. Support for Democrats is growing.

Failed to offer something in exchange for losing freedoms
Overall, people are suffering from his economic policies, tariffs, tax policies, cuts, and think he has gone too far with immigration. At the same time, they see him flaunting wealth, and taking care of his rich buddies. People don't think he is on their side.

Failed to rally the population around a scapegoat
He thought he could unite us all around a common enemy, but people are sick and tired of hearing him whine endlessly about Somalis, trans people, immigrants, Joe Biden, or whatever is the scapegoat of the month. He is a scratched record that only his loyalists listen to, and most people's experience is of being worse off financially rather than being worse off because of these scapegoats.

Failed to establish a cult of personality to galvanize enough support.
Yes he is certainly a cult leader, but his base is shrinking as more people realize he is demented and that he talks and posts like a moron, focused on settling scores, ballrooms, paving over the Rose Garden, gold plating the Oval Office, the Kennedy Center and other trivial pursuits.

Failed to win the respect of the people to seize power without an uprising
He thought he was going to be America's savior and we would prefer him to be dictator over seeing Democrats back in office. But the Epstein cover up, the unhinged behavior, like comments about Rob Reiner, the cruelty, the lack of personal responsibility or even acknowledgement of the problems people are facing, the loss of healthcare and safety net programs, the total lack of focus. All of these issues will only get worse as he becomes more demented, more desperate, more angry, as the tariffs have a worsening impact, as tens of millions lose essential benefits, and more people will see him for what he is.

This is why I can't wait for Trump RX.

Trump says medication prices will decrease by up to 800%

This means if a drug currently costs one dollar, it will drop in price so far below zero that you will be paid to take it. For every dollar you would have spent, you will now have the drug free and be paid seven dollars. My wife needs a lot of medications and with this new Trump initiative, we stand to become very rich.

Thank you Trump for your mathematical skills shown here, your business acumen that can be seen in the way you ran your casinos, and your ability to forecast costs accurately, as can be seen in your ballroom estimates. Most of all, thank you for this big beautiful policy that has nothing to do with helping any of your family members to become wealthier.